Oklahoma State @ Kansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2025)

Sat, Nov 1, 2025, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Kansas · Conference game

Weather at kickoff50°F12 mphgusts 24DryWeather watch ›

Oklahoma State

1-7 · Power #111

final

Final

Kansas

4-4 · Power #54

▲ winner

Closing spread

KU -24.5

✓ OKST W

Total

53.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

OKST 15–39 KU

✓ KU (96%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKU -24.5

CloseKU -24.5

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKU -24.5

no move

CloseKU -24.5

No change since the open

Total

Open55.5

▼ 2

Close53.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KU -24.5 · unchangedmodel KU -25

model KU -25

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 23.5–25.5 since 2023: won 96%, covered 54% (73 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKU -24.5

CloseKU -24.5

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KU as a 24.5-point home favorite against OKST, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: KU won 38–21; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 59 points went over 53.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 53%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 20.3 against an average line of 24.4; 50.3 points a game (usually 54.7). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ORST vs COLO 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-23	42–9	W	O47.5
Very close	TULN vs TLSA 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-24.5	24–22	L	U52.75
Close	TXST vs USM 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-27.5	58–3	W	O56.5
Close	FRES vs NEV 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-24.5	27–9	L	U51.5
Close	BYU vs USU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-26	38–26	L	O60
Close	SMU vs CLT 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	34–16	L	U53.5
Close	JMU vs USM 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-24	32–15	L	U54
Close	GT vs BGSU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-22	27–38	L	O51.5
Close	JMU vs CONN 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest	-25	44–6	W	O47.5
Close	BGSU vs KENT 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-24	27–6	L	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OKST WLLLL	1-6	14%	0-3	1-5
KU WLWLL	3-5	38%	2-3	3-3

Venue/role: OKST away, as underdog; KU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OKST OUOOU	4-4	50%	1-7
KU UOUOO	4-4	50%	4-4

Went over in Q4. Of 534 earlier overs in games with totals 49.5–57.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OKST	1-9 10%	1-8 11%	5-5 50%
KU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

OKST 41–31 KU (3 tied) OKST leads · 75 games since 1923 · KU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 14 2023	Kansas 32 @ Oklahoma State 39	KU -2.5	OKST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OKST−2.7 →−15.8▼ 13.1#125

KU+6.8 →+4.7▼ 2.1#52

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

OKST

Longer bar = better

#134

Offense

KU better ▶

#38

#130

Defense

KU better ▶

#88

−0.1 #82

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #71

66 plays #81

Pace

◀ OKST faster

65 plays #96

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OKST has the ball

Advantage: KU defense

	OKST off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #133	25.9 #86	KU
Yards / play	4.49 #135	5.78 #94	KU
PPA / play	−0.09 #135	+0.19 #113	KU
Success rate	34% #134	41% #60	KU

When KU has the ball

Advantage: KU offense

	KU off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	30.5 #56	38.9 #136	KU
Yards / play	6.12 #45	6.59 #131	KU
PPA / play	+0.23 #27	+0.29 #134	KU
Success rate	48% #22	46% #120	KU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

OKST scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	4.6 #105	4.0 #130	8.6 #123	2.1 #133	3.8 #122	5.9 #135
KU allowed	8.3 #118	6.8 #62	15.0 #93	4.8 #51	6.1 #65	10.9 #49

KU scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	8.8 #21	10.3 #39	19.0 #24	8.0 #29	3.5 #126	11.5 #86
OKST allowed	12.0 #136	12.5 #135	24.5 #136	9.8 #130	4.6 #31	14.4 #109

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.