Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 4:15 PM ESTWeek 13 · at South Carolina

Weather at kickoff78°F10 mphgusts 25DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

6-4 · Power #122

final

Final

South Carolina

3-7 · Power #43

▲ winner

Closing spread

SC -24.5

✓ SC W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 11–35 SC

✓ SC (96%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSC -23.5

CloseSC -24.5

Total53.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSC -23.5

1 → SC

CloseSC -24.5

1 pt toward South Carolina

Total

Open53.5

▼ 3

Close50.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SC -23.5 · closed SC -24.5 · moved 1 toward SCmodel SC -24

model SC -24

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 23.5–25.5 since 2023: won 96%, covered 54% (75 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (260 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenSC -23.5

CloseSC -24.5

Total53.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SC as a 24.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 8, covered 2, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: SC won 51–7; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 50.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 54%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.4 against an average line of 24; 56.8 points a game (usually 54.7). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ND vs UNLV 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-26	44–21	L	O46.5
Very close	ARK vs LT 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-23.5	35–14	L	O48.5
Very close	MSST vs WMU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & season form	-21	41–28	L	O55
Very close	TULN vs TLSA 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-24.5	24–22	L	U52.75
Close	SMU vs CLT 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	34–16	L	U53.5
Close	BYU vs WYO 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-21.25	38–24	L	O49.75
Close	AUB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-25	10–31	L	U48.5
Close	GT vs BGSU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-22	27–38	L	O51.5
Close	AUB vs ULM 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-24.5	48–14	W	O46
Close	MIZ vs NMSU 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & season form	-29	45–14	W	O46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU WWWWL	5-5	50%	2-3	4-4
SC LLWLW	5-5	50%	2-3	2-2

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; SC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU UOOOO	7-3	70%	6-4
SC UUOUO	4-6	40%	3-7

Went over in Q4. Of 627 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–54.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
SC	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−6.6 →−11.9▼ 5.3#113

SC+13.9 →+7.5▼ 6.4#42

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CCU

Longer bar = better

#91

Offense

◀ CCU better

#124

#89

Defense

SC better ▶

#63

0.0 #80

Turnovers

SC better ▶

+0.6 #25

67 plays #65

Pace

◀ CCU faster

62 plays #121

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: SC defense

	CCU off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	25.7 #79	23.0 #55	SC
Yards / play	5.19 #102	5.44 #60	SC
PPA / play	+0.09 #82	+0.06 #55	SC
Success rate	40% #101	42% #81	Even

When SC has the ball

Advantage: CCU defense

	SC off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	20.7 #117	29.7 #107	Even
Yards / play	4.87 #125	5.92 #103	CCU
PPA / play	−0.02 #124	+0.08 #67	CCU
Success rate	36% #128	42% #77	CCU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	5.0 #91	6.0 #110	11.0 #107	7.8 #32	6.9 #65	14.7 #40
SC allowed	5.2 #65	5.3 #23	10.5 #31	5.7 #77	6.8 #79	12.5 #79

SC scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	5.5 #81	7.8 #82	13.3 #85	4.6 #104	2.8 #134	7.4 #130
CCU allowed	8.6 #129	9.3 #103	17.9 #125	6.6 #105	5.2 #38	11.8 #65

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.