Clemson @ South Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at South Carolina

Weather at kickoff45°F5 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Clemson

6-5 · Power #34

▲ winner

Final

South Carolina

4-7 · Power #43

final

Closing spread

SC -2.5

✓ CLEM W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 42 pts

Model before kickoff

CLEM 23–25 SC

✗ SC (57%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSC -3

CloseSC -2.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSC -3

0.5 → CLEM

CloseSC -2.5

0.5 pts toward Clemson

Total

Open47.5

▼ 1

Close46.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SC -3 · closed SC -2.5 · moved 0.5 toward CLEMmodel SC -3

model SC -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 52% (313 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 59% (34 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSC -3

CloseSC -2.5

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SC as a 2.5-point home favorite against CLEM, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: CLEM won 28–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 42 points stayed under 46.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.2 against an average line of 2.4; 47.6 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UK vs AUB 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2	10–24	L	U43.5
Very close	UK vs LOU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	26–13	W	U42.5
Very close	ISU vs TTU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	10–14	L	U47.5
Very close	ARK vs AUB 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	10–48	L	O47
Very close	ISU vs KSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2	29–21	W	U51.5
Very close	RUTG vs ILL 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.25	31–38	L	O47.75
Very close	AUB vs TA&M 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	13–10	W	U48.5
Very close	ORST vs WSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	24–10	W	U51.5
Very close	FLA vs LSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2	35–45	L	O51.5
Very close	TA&M vs FLA 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	24–41	L	O53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM LLWWL	4-7	36%	3-1	1-0
SC LWLWW	6-5	55%	3-3	3-2

Venue/role: CLEM away, as underdog; SC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM OOUUU	4-7	36%	6-5
SC UOUOO	5-6	45%	4-7

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 8. 54% of games with totals 42.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEM	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
SC	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CLEM 1–1 SC Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · SC has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2024	South Carolina 17 @ Clemson 14	CLEM -2.5	SC W
Nov 25 2023	Clemson 16 @ South Carolina 7	CLEM -7.5	CLEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLEM+15.2 →+8.0▼ 7.2#38

SC+13.9 →+8.5▼ 5.4#34

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

CLEM

Longer bar = better

#57

Offense

◀ CLEM better

#109

#37

Defense

◀ CLEM better

#52

−0.1 #84

Turnovers

SC better ▶

+0.6 #24

67 plays #64

Pace

◀ CLEM faster

63 plays #115

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLEM has the ball

Even matchup

	CLEM off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	28.7 #60	21.5 #40	Even
Yards / play	6.00 #44	5.26 #46	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #60	+0.05 #52	Even
Success rate	43% #62	42% #71	Even

When SC has the ball

Advantage: CLEM defense

	SC off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	23.5 #100	21.0 #36	CLEM
Yards / play	5.22 #105	5.20 #42	CLEM
PPA / play	+0.03 #111	+0.04 #51	CLEM
Success rate	37% #121	37% #18	CLEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CLEM scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	7.5 #31	10.4 #33	17.9 #28	4.5 #101	6.3 #78	10.8 #100
SC allowed	4.7 #54	4.8 #14	9.5 #23	5.2 #59	6.8 #76	12.0 #64

SC scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	6.8 #46	8.6 #70	15.5 #57	4.8 #93	3.2 #133	8.0 #128
CLEM allowed	5.2 #65	6.8 #54	12.0 #57	4.4 #38	4.6 #27	9.0 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.