South Carolina @ Texas A&M: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Texas A&M · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F12 mphgusts 26DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

South Carolina

3-6 · Power #43

final

Final

Texas A&M

9-0 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

TA&M -16.5

✓ SC W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

SC 15–32 TA&M

✓ TA&M (89%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -17.5

CloseTA&M -16.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTA&M -17.5

1 → SC

CloseTA&M -16.5

1 pt toward South Carolina

Total

Open48.5

▲ 1

Close49.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TA&M -17.5 · closed TA&M -16.5 · moved 1 toward SCmodel TA&M -19.5

model TA&M -19.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 15.5–17.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 48% (117 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (279 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTA&M -17.5

CloseTA&M -16.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TA&M as a 16.5-point home favorite against SC, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TA&M won 31–30; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 61 points went over 49.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 17.3 against an average line of 16.8; 52.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	USC vs WIS 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-13.5	38–21	W	O50
Very close	UGA vs UK 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-19.5	35–14	W	P49
Very close	ORE vs WASH 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & total	-17.5	49–21	W	O50.5
Very close	CLEM vs MIA 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & total	-19	40–10	W	O47.5
Close	USC vs NU 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-14.5	38–17	W	O54.5
Close	TEX vs UK 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total	-18.5	31–14	L	U47
Close	PSU vs MSU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & situation	-19	35–16	P	U54.5
Close	FSU vs MIA 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & total	-14.5	27–20	L	U50.5
Close	MISS vs SC 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-13	30–14	W	U55.5
Close	LOU vs CAL 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-18.5	26–29	L	O49

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SC WLLWL	4-5	44%	1-2	2-3
TA&M WWLWW	5-4	56%	2-3	4-4

Venue/role: SC away, as underdog; TA&M home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SC OUUOU	3-6	33%	3-6
TA&M UOOOO	7-2	78%	9-0

Went over in Q3. Of 571 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SC	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
TA&M	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

SC 1–1 TA&M Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · SC has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 2 2024	Texas A&M 20 @ South Carolina 44	TA&M -3.5	SC W
Oct 28 2023	South Carolina 17 @ Texas A&M 30	TA&M -17	SC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SC+13.9 →+6.6▼ 7.3#46

TA&M+14.3 →+21.2▲ 6.9#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

Longer bar = better

TA&M

#125

Offense

TA&M better ▶

#15

#59

Defense

Even

#47

+0.3 #46

Turnovers

◀ SC better

0.0 #76

62 plays #121

Pace

TA&M faster ▶

69 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SC has the ball

Advantage: TA&M defense

	SC off	TA&M def	Edge
Points / game	19.7 #121	22.9 #60	TA&M
Yards / play	4.74 #128	5.10 #41	TA&M
PPA / play	−0.02 #127	+0.09 #71	TA&M
Success rate	36% #124	37% #17	TA&M

When TA&M has the ball

Advantage: TA&M offense

	TA&M off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	37.8 #12	22.1 #51	TA&M
Yards / play	6.71 #19	5.22 #51	TA&M
PPA / play	+0.28 #13	+0.06 #56	TA&M
Success rate	48% #17	42% #79	TA&M

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

SC scoring against the TA&M defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	4.2 #106	7.2 #90	11.4 #103	5.1 #88	3.1 #131	8.2 #127
TA&M allowed	5.6 #70	5.3 #24	10.9 #42	4.3 #42	7.7 #108	12.0 #69

TA&M scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TA&M scored	8.1 #24	10.7 #31	18.8 #26	9.1 #15	9.9 #13	19.0 #8
SC allowed	5.4 #67	5.9 #36	11.3 #49	4.0 #31	6.8 #76	10.8 #48

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.