Washington State @ James Madison: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at James Madison

Weather at kickoff52°F10 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Washington State

5-5 · Power #60

final

Final

James Madison

9-1 · Power #28

▲ winner

Closing spread

JMU -15.5

✓ WSU W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

WSU 14–29 JMU

✓ JMU (86%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -14.5

CloseJMU -15.5

Total44.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -14.5

1 → JMU

CloseJMU -15.5

1 pt toward James Madison

Total

Open44.5

▲ 1

Close45.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -14.5 · closed JMU -15.5 · moved 1 toward JMUmodel JMU -14.5

model JMU -14.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 14.5–16.5 since 2023: won 88%, covered 47% (109 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (252 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -14.5

CloseJMU -15.5

Total44.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 15.5-point home favorite against WSU, the favorite won 10, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: JMU won 24–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 44 points stayed under 45.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 85%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17.5 against an average line of 15.5; 54.3 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TROY vs UL 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-15.5	31–24	L	O47.5
Very close	UVA vs STAN 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	48–20	W	O48.5
Very close	MD vs IU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & season form	-14	44–17	W	O50
Very close	USA vs ODU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	27–20	L	P47
Very close	MINN vs NEV 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & total	-17	27–0	W	U44
Very close	MINN vs RUTG 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-14	31–0	W	U40.5
Very close	USA vs TXST 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16	38–21	W	O46
Very close	ISU vs BAY 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & season form	-13	43–21	W	O45
Close	MRSH vs ODU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-14	41–35	L	O47
Close	MIA vs UVA 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-18.5	29–26	L	O48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU WWWLW	6-4	60%	3-2	4-2
JMU LWWLW	7-3	70%	4-1	6-3

Venue/role: WSU away, as underdog; JMU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU UUUUU	3-7	30%	5-5
JMU UOOOO	5-5	50%	9-1

Stayed under: it needed 12 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 54% of games with totals 41.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%
JMU	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU−2.0 →−0.4▲ 1.6#68

JMU−2.2 →+9.1▲ 11.3#30

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

WSU

Longer bar = better

JMU

#108

Offense

JMU better ▶

#30

#46

Defense

JMU better ▶

−0.9 #129

Turnovers

JMU better ▶

0.0 #77

63 plays #116

Pace

JMU faster ▶

72 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	WSU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	20.7 #115	16.2 #11	JMU
Yards / play	4.90 #123	4.31 #7	JMU
PPA / play	+0.02 #112	−0.07 #10	JMU
Success rate	42% #82	31% #2	JMU

When JMU has the ball

Even matchup

	JMU off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	37.1 #14	21.0 #35	JMU
Yards / play	6.32 #32	5.00 #31	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #38	+0.03 #38	Even
Success rate	46% #34	42% #80	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WSU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	4.1 #110	8.4 #73	12.5 #92	3.7 #114	4.5 #121	8.2 #128
JMU allowed	3.0 #23	7.6 #77	10.6 #38	2.9 #15	2.7 #2	5.6 #5

JMU scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	7.3 #34	10.4 #31	17.7 #33	10.4 #6	9.0 #24	19.4 #9
WSU allowed	4.5 #48	6.1 #35	10.6 #38	3.3 #22	7.1 #94	10.4 #49

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.