Oregon State @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 6:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Washington State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff31°F8 mphgusts 14DryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Oregon State

2-9 · Power #100

final

Final

Washington State

5-6 · Power #60

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSU -14.5

✓ WSU W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

ORST 16–31 WSU

✓ WSU (85%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -12.5

CloseWSU -14.5

Total43.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWSU -12.5

2 → WSU

CloseWSU -14.5

2 pts toward Washington State

Total

Open43.5

▼ 1

Close42.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WSU -12.5 · closed WSU -14.5 · moved 2 toward WSUmodel WSU -14.5 matches the line

model WSU -14.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 57% (127 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (250 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWSU -12.5

CloseWSU -14.5

Total43.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as a 14.5-point home favorite against ORST, the favorite won 10, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: WSU won 32–8; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 42.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 84%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.5 against an average line of 14.6; 49.3 points a game (usually 53.4). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SJSU vs SDSU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-16.5	24–13	L	U48.5
Very close	M-OH vs EMU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar season form & situation	-12.5	44–30	W	O47.5
Close	CAL vs ASU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & situation	-12.5	24–21	L	U47.5
Close	WYO vs UNM 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & spread	-14	35–26	L	O41
Close	WYO vs HAW 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & season form	-13.5	42–9	W	O45
Close	ILL vs FAU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & total	-16	23–17	L	U45.5
Close	BC vs CONN 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & season form	-14.5	21–14	L	U49
Close	USA vs ODU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & spread	-16.5	27–20	L	P47
Close	NIU vs EMU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-12	20–13	L	U43.5
Close	BOIS vs CSU 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total	-17.5	49–21	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORST LWWLL	4-7	36%	1-3	3-5
WSU WWLWW	7-4	64%	3-2	2-2

Venue/role: ORST away, as underdog; WSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORST OOUUU	5-6	45%	2-9
WSU UUUUU	3-8	27%	5-6

Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 15. 54% of games with totals 38.5–46.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORST	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
WSU	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

ORST 45–56 WSU (3 tied) WSU leads · 104 games since 1916 · ORST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 1 2025	Washington State 7 @ Oregon State 10	WSU -3.5	ORST W
Nov 23 2024	Washington State 38 @ Oregon State 41	WSU -10.5	ORST W
Sep 23 2023	Oregon State 35 @ Washington State 38	ORST -3	WSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ORST−5.2 →−9.5▼ 4.3#103

WSU−2.0 →+0.3▲ 2.3#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

ORST

Longer bar = better

WSU

#105

Offense

Even

#112

#79

Defense

WSU better ▶

#47

−0.8 #128

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #127

70 plays #34

Pace

◀ ORST faster

64 plays #107

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORST has the ball

Advantage: WSU defense

	ORST off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	19.1 #123	21.3 #38	WSU
Yards / play	5.09 #109	5.11 #37	WSU
PPA / play	0.00 #122	+0.03 #39	WSU
Success rate	43% #65	42% #75	Even

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: ORST defense

	WSU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	20.6 #118	29.2 #101	Even
Yards / play	4.85 #126	6.00 #110	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #117	+0.13 #84	ORST
Success rate	41% #88	38% #22	ORST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ORST scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	3.0 #128	4.5 #126	7.5 #131	3.9 #114	7.6 #48	11.5 #89
WSU allowed	4.4 #46	6.2 #38	10.5 #33	3.6 #27	7.1 #84	10.7 #49

WSU scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	4.0 #114	8.9 #61	12.9 #87	3.4 #121	4.4 #124	7.7 #132
ORST allowed	8.3 #124	8.3 #87	16.5 #111	5.3 #65	7.1 #84	12.4 #72

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.