Delaware @ Wake Forest: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Wake Forest

Weather at kickoff73°F11 mphgusts 24DryWeather watch ›

Delaware

5-5 · Power #117

final

Final

Wake Forest

7-3 · Power #53

▲ winner

Closing spread

WAKE -17.5

✓ WAKE W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

DEL 15–33 WAKE

✓ WAKE (90%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWAKE -18.5

CloseWAKE -17.5

Total53.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWAKE -18.5

1 → DEL

CloseWAKE -17.5

1 pt toward Delaware

Total

Open53.5

▼ 5

Close48.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WAKE -18.5 · closed WAKE -17.5 · moved 1 toward DELmodel WAKE -21

model WAKE -21

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 90%, covered 50% (123 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (291 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWAKE -18.5

CloseWAKE -17.5

Total53.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WAKE as a 17.5-point home favorite against DEL, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: WAKE won 52–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Below normal · usually 89%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

Wins below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 8.3 against an average line of 17; 52.7 points a game (usually 53). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UK vs VAN 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-17	21–24	L	U45.5
Very close	BOIS vs FRES 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-17.5	7–30	L	U47.5
Very close	TOL vs BGSU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-14.5	35–42	L	O46.5
Very close	TOL vs BUFF 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & situation	-14.5	31–13	W	U47.25
Close	FLA vs VAN 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-18.5	38–14	W	O51
Close	ND vs BC 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-20	44–0	W	O42
Close	USA vs CMU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-16	30–34	L	O47.5
Close	USA vs TXST 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-16	38–21	W	O46
Close	CIN vs NAVY 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-18.5	20–10	L	U43.5
Close	USA vs ULM 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-17	41–34	L	O51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LLLWL	3-7	30%	1-4	3-2
WAKE WWLWW	7-3	70%	4-2	3-1

Venue/role: DEL away, as underdog; WAKE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL OOOUU	4-6	40%	5-5
WAKE OUUUO	5-5	50%	7-3

Went over in Q3. Of 557 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DEL	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
WAKE	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEL−22.6 →−14.5▲ 8.1#125

WAKE−4.6 →+1.7▲ 6.3#61

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

DEL

Longer bar = better

WAKE

#60

Offense

◀ DEL better

#103

#109

Defense

WAKE better ▶

#12

−0.8 #122

Turnovers

WAKE better ▶

−0.1 #83

74 plays #7

Pace

◀ DEL faster

66 plays #78

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: WAKE defense

	DEL off	WAKE def	Edge
Points / game	28.2 #66	19.5 #22	WAKE
Yards / play	5.68 #68	4.52 #10	WAKE
PPA / play	+0.13 #60	−0.08 #8	WAKE
Success rate	45% #47	34% #9	WAKE

When WAKE has the ball

Even matchup

	WAKE off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	23.8 #97	30.7 #114	Even
Yards / play	5.52 #78	5.94 #106	WAKE
PPA / play	+0.01 #114	+0.21 #125	Even
Success rate	36% #122	43% #89	DEL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

DEL scoring against the WAKE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.4 #106	10.4 #30	14.8 #70	5.6 #74	7.2 #58	12.8 #61
WAKE allowed	3.3 #29	4.2 #9	7.5 #11	5.9 #88	5.4 #41	11.3 #56

WAKE scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WAKE scored	7.0 #44	8.2 #76	15.2 #67	4.7 #94	3.3 #130	8.0 #128
DEL allowed	5.9 #82	8.2 #93	14.1 #88	9.6 #134	6.7 #72	16.3 #128

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.