Jacksonville State @ Florida International: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sat, Nov 22, 2025, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Florida International · Conference game

Weather at kickoff79°F6 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Jacksonville State

7-3 · Power #101

final

Final

Florida International

5-5 · Power #109

▲ winner

Closing spread

FIU -2.5

✓ FIU W

Total

56.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

JXST 26–28 FIU

✓ FIU (56%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -1.5

CloseFIU -2.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFIU -1.5

1 → FIU

CloseFIU -2.5

1 pt toward Florida International

Total

Open55.5

▲ 1

Close56.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FIU -1.5 · closed FIU -2.5 · moved 1 toward FIUmodel FIU -0.5

model FIU -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 53% (310 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (256 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -1.5

CloseFIU -2.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FIU as a 2.5-point home favorite against JXST, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: FIU won 27–21; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 56.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.3 against an average line of 2.8; 55.3 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GASO vs CCU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	45–40	W	O59.5
Very close	NIU vs WMU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	24–0	W	U55.5
Very close	BALL vs EMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	16–20	L	U57.5
Very close	ODU vs MRSH 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	35–42	L	O51.5
Very close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	31–23	W	P54
Very close	CCU vs GASO 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2	6–26	L	U59.5
Very close	USM vs JXST 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & season form	-4.5	42–25	W	O55.5
Very close	CMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2.75	31–27	W	O54
Very close	EMU vs CMU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-1	38–19	W	O53.5
Very close	SJSU vs UNM 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-2	35–28	W	O58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST LWLWW	5-5	50%	2-4	4-2
FIU WLLWW	6-4	60%	3-2	2-1

Venue/role: JXST away, as underdog; FIU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST OOUOO	7-3	70%	7-3
FIU UOUOO	5-5	50%	5-5

Stayed under: it needed 19 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 51% of games with totals 52.5–60.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXST	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
FIU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

JXST 4–1 FIU JXST leads · 5 games since 2020 · JXST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 16 2024	Florida International 31 @ Jacksonville State 34	JXST -12.5	FIU W
Oct 25 2023	Jacksonville State 41 @ Florida International 16	JXST -9	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JXST−5.1 →−9.8▼ 4.7#106

FIU−11.4 →−12.0▼ 0.6#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

JXST

Longer bar = better

FIU

#47

Offense

◀ JXST better

#77

#84

Defense

Even

#84

+0.7 #20

Turnovers

◀ JXST better

0.0 #70

71 plays #27

Pace

Even

70 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #52	29.6 #102	JXST
Yards / play	5.92 #55	5.94 #105	JXST
PPA / play	+0.19 #41	+0.08 #63	JXST
Success rate	45% #40	41% #66	JXST

When FIU has the ball

Even matchup

	FIU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	26.8 #73	26.0 #82	Even
Yards / play	5.57 #73	5.76 #91	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #73	+0.12 #80	Even
Success rate	41% #90	43% #83	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

JXST scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.2 #64	9.3 #59	15.5 #60	5.9 #69	9.0 #25	14.9 #39
FIU allowed	7.2 #106	9.8 #111	17.0 #119	5.5 #67	7.1 #95	12.6 #80

FIU scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	4.8 #98	9.2 #61	14.0 #76	6.0 #65	6.1 #78	12.1 #77
JXST allowed	6.1 #88	5.3 #24	11.4 #50	5.5 #67	9.1 #125	14.6 #112

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.