Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2025)

Sat, Nov 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Jacksonville State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F9 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

7-2 · Power #97

final

Final

Jacksonville State

6-3 · Power #101

▲ winner

Closing spread

KENN -3.5

✓ JXST W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 28–25 JXST

✗ KENN (57%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKENN -1.5

CloseKENN -3.5

Total51.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKENN -1.5

2 → KENN

CloseKENN -3.5

2 pts toward Kennesaw State

Total

Open51.5

▲ 4

Close55.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KENN -1.5 · closed KENN -3.5 · moved 2 toward KENNmodel JXST -2.5

model JXST -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 49% (206 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 47% (105 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenKENN -1.5

CloseKENN -3.5

Total51.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KENN as a 3.5-point road favorite at JXST, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: JXST won 35–26 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 61 points went over 55.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.1 against an average line of 3.6; 53.1 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	OHIO @ M-OH 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	37–21	W	O52
Very close	OHIO @ BALL 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	32–18	W	U57.5
Close	JXST @ WKU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & season form	-0.5	17–19	L	U62.5
Close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Close	NAVY @ USF 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & rest	-4.5	28–7	W	U58.5
Close	UL @ CCU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	34–24	W	O57
Close	BUFF @ OHIO 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-2.5	24–45	L	O61
Close	WMU @ EMU 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	45–21	W	O49.5
Close	USF @ RICE 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	28–35	L	O54
Close	BOIS @ UNLV 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	44–20	W	O62

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN WWWWL	6-3	67%	2-2	3-2
JXST LLWLW	4-5	44%	2-1	3-2

Venue/role: KENN away, as favorite; JXST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN UUOUU	2-7	22%	7-2
JXST OOOUO	6-3	67%	6-3

Went over in Q4. Of 528 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
JXST	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

KENN 4–4 JXST Series tied · 8 games since 2017 · JXST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 4 2024	Jacksonville State 63 @ Kennesaw State 24	JXST -17.5	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENN−24.1 →−8.8▲ 15.3#101

JXST−5.1 →−9.5▼ 4.4#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

KENN

Longer bar = better

JXST

#78

Offense

JXST better ▶

#54

#40

Defense

◀ KENN better

#80

−0.1 #88

Turnovers

JXST better ▶

+0.3 #37

66 plays #79

Pace

JXST faster ▶

72 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENN has the ball

Even matchup

	KENN off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #78	26.0 #83	Even
Yards / play	5.76 #64	5.66 #81	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #75	+0.12 #82	Even
Success rate	41% #93	42% #75	Even

When JXST has the ball

Even matchup

	JXST off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	29.9 #58	21.1 #36	KENN
Yards / play	5.74 #66	5.25 #51	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #51	+0.02 #33	Even
Success rate	45% #41	39% #40	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

KENN scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	10.3 #8	5.1 #119	15.4 #63	5.7 #75	4.9 #114	10.6 #103
JXST allowed	6.0 #87	5.6 #31	11.6 #52	5.8 #83	8.7 #124	14.4 #111

JXST scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.1 #68	8.7 #68	14.8 #70	6.2 #60	8.9 #30	15.1 #38
KENN allowed	4.2 #46	5.0 #17	9.2 #23	4.9 #51	7.0 #85	11.9 #67

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.