UTEP @ Delaware: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Delaware · Conference game

Weather at kickoff40°F7 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

UTEP

2-9 · Power #131

final

Final

Delaware

5-6 · Power #117

▲ winner

Closing spread

DEL -4.5

✓ DEL W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 92 pts

Model before kickoff

UTEP 24–29 DEL

✓ DEL (63%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDEL -6.5

CloseDEL -4.5

Total54.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenDEL -6.5

2 → UTEP

CloseDEL -4.5

2 pts toward UTEP

Total

Open54.5

▲ 1

Close55.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened DEL -6.5 · closed DEL -4.5 · moved 2 toward UTEPmodel DEL -5.5

model DEL -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 51% (223 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (208 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenDEL -6.5

CloseDEL -4.5

Total54.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DEL as a 4.5-point home favorite against UTEP, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: DEL won 61–31; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 92 points went over 55.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.7 against an average line of 3.5; 60.1 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Very close	TLSA vs TEM 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & spread	-3	48–26	W	O55
Very close	BUFF vs BALL 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	51–48	L	O55.5
Very close	EMU vs BUFF 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & rest	-1	20–37	L	O53.5
Very close	CMU vs BGSU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	18–34	L	O50.5
Very close	ARST vs ULM 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3	28–21	W	U51.5
Very close	CMU vs EMU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-3	24–13	W	U55.5
Very close	USM vs ULM 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	24–7	W	U56.5
Very close	ARMY vs ULM 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	48–24	W	O55.5
Very close	ARST vs UL 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & situation	-2.5	30–34	L	O54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTEP WLLLL	3-8	27%	2-3	1-6
DEL LLWLL	3-8	27%	2-3	0-5

Venue/role: UTEP away, as underdog; DEL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTEP OUOOO	6-5	55%	2-9
DEL OOUUO	5-6	45%	5-6

Went over in Q3. Of 540 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTEP	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
DEL	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTEP−15.9 →−16.9▼ 1.0#128

DEL−22.6 →−15.4▲ 7.2#125

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

UTEP

Longer bar = better

DEL

#123

Offense

DEL better ▶

#69

#50

Defense

◀ UTEP better

#117

−0.6 #119

Turnovers

Even

−0.7 #124

65 plays #96

Pace

DEL faster ▶

74 plays #7

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTEP has the ball

Even matchup

	UTEP off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	22.6 #106	32.6 #123	Even
Yards / play	5.07 #112	6.24 #120	Even
PPA / play	−0.09 #136	+0.23 #128	Even
Success rate	33% #136	44% #97	DEL

When DEL has the ball

Even matchup

	DEL off	UTEP def	Edge
Points / game	26.9 #73	27.6 #91	Even
Yards / play	5.52 #80	5.20 #41	UTEP
PPA / play	+0.12 #67	+0.03 #38	UTEP
Success rate	44% #55	39% #29	UTEP

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UTEP scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTEP scored	5.1 #88	5.2 #117	10.3 #114	5.5 #78	6.8 #64	12.4 #73
DEL allowed	6.7 #98	9.3 #102	16.0 #105	10.0 #135	6.4 #61	16.4 #127

DEL scoring against the UTEP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.0 #113	10.1 #40	14.1 #73	5.1 #88	7.2 #56	12.3 #75
UTEP allowed	7.8 #119	8.2 #86	16.0 #105	4.5 #44	7.1 #88	11.6 #59

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.