UCF @ BYU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at BYU · Conference game

Weather at kickoff41°F2 mphgusts 8DryWeather watch ›

UCF

5-6 · Power #66

final

Final

BYU

10-1 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

—

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

UCF 14–33 BYU

✓ BYU (93%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UCF WLLLL	4-7	36%	1-3	—
BYU WWLWW	8-3	73%	4-1	—

Venue/role: UCF away; BYU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UCF OUOOU	5-6	45%	5-6
BYU UO–OU	5-5	50%	10-1

Went over in Q3. Of 492 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–50.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UCF	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
BYU	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UCF 1–4 BYU BYU leads · 5 games since 2011 · BYU has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	BYU 37 @ UCF 24	UCF -2.5	BYU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UCF+6.8 →+1.1▼ 5.7#63

BYU+7.8 →+14.5▲ 6.7#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

UCF

Longer bar = better

BYU

#87

Offense

BYU better ▶

#39

#54

Defense

BYU better ▶

#28

−0.2 #88

Turnovers

BYU better ▶

+0.9 #14

66 plays #70

Pace

BYU faster ▶

68 plays #55

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UCF has the ball

Advantage: BYU defense

	UCF off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	24.6 #88	17.5 #14	BYU
Yards / play	5.81 #64	5.07 #35	BYU
PPA / play	+0.08 #87	+0.02 #29	BYU
Success rate	39% #110	39% #32	BYU

When BYU has the ball

Even matchup

	BYU off	UCF def	Edge
Points / game	33.4 #28	22.0 #45	Even
Yards / play	6.11 #37	4.96 #30	Even
PPA / play	+0.17 #43	+0.05 #53	Even
Success rate	44% #47	43% #88	BYU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UCF scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCF scored	5.6 #74	6.5 #101	12.1 #94	6.5 #50	6.0 #86	12.5 #65
BYU allowed	4.6 #52	4.9 #15	9.5 #22	2.6 #10	5.0 #31	7.6 #13

BYU scoring against the UCF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	7.1 #35	10.4 #34	17.5 #34	4.8 #92	10.3 #10	15.1 #34
UCF allowed	3.8 #37	9.5 #106	13.4 #78	5.1 #58	3.5 #12	8.6 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.