NCAAF First-Half Team Trends 2025: 1H ATS, Over/Under, Fast Starters

NCAAF first-half team trends, 2025

Who covers the 1st half, who goes over or under at halftime, who starts fast and who finishes strong. Graded against 1st-half lines (real ESPN lines for the NFL from 2025, otherwise estimated).

Best 1st-half ATS

4+ games

Wake Forest10-376.9%

Washington State10-376.9%

Northwestern9-3-175%

Arkansas9-375%

Oregon11-473.3%

Tulane10-471.4%

Texas Tech9-469.2%

North Texas9-4-169.2%

Worst 1st-half ATS

4+ games

Texas2-1115.4%

Baylor2-1016.7%

Oregon State2-1016.7%

Charlotte2-9-118.2%

South Alabama2-9-118.2%

Colorado State2-918.2%

Michigan3-1023.1%

LSU3-9-125%

1st-half overs

Over the 1H total

Memphis11-1-191.7%

Florida International10-376.9%

Florida Atlantic9-375%

Arkansas9-375%

Massachusetts8-3-172.7%

North Texas10-471.4%

Middle Tennessee7-3-170%

Utah9-469.2%

1st-half unders

Under the 1H total

Miami2-1487.5% U

SMU2-1184.6% U

Wisconsin2-1083.3% U

TCU3-1076.9% U

Southern Miss3-9-175% U

Oregon State3-975% U

Buffalo3-8-172.7% U

Air Force3-8-172.7% U

Fast starters

Ahead in the 1st half, better than in the 2nd

Cincinnati1H +7.72H -3.0

Wake Forest1H +8.22H -2.2

Tennessee1H +10.42H +0.5

South Carolina1H +5.22H -4.6

Tulane1H +6.52H -2.7

Texas Tech1H +18.32H +9.4

Maryland1H +2.72H -5.7

Nebraska1H +6.12H -2.0

Active 1H cover streaks

Consecutive 1st halves covered or missed

Washington StateCovered 9

LibertyCovered 7

ArkansasCovered 7

Fresno StateCovered 5

DukeCovered 4

Oklahoma StateCovered 4

RutgersCovered 3

NC StateCovered 3

1st-half ATS splits

Home / away, 1st-half favorite / underdog, last 5 games and current streak

Team	GP	1H ATS	Cover %	Home	Away	As fav	As dog	Last 5	1H O-U	Streak
Sacramento State	1	1-0	100%	—	1-0	—	1-0	1-0	1-0	W1
Wake Forest	13	10-3	76.9%	6-1	3-2	4-1	6-2	4-1	6-7	W1
Washington State	13	10-3	76.9%	4-2	5-1	4-1	6-2	5-0	5-8	W9
Northwestern	13	9-3-1	75%	5-2	3-1-1	5-1	4-2-1	3-1-1	5-8	W1
Arkansas	12	9-3	75%	5-2	4-1	4-1	5-2	5-0	9-3	W7
Oregon	15	11-4	73.3%	5-3	5-0	9-3	2-1	4-1	7-8	L1
Tulane	14	10-4	71.4%	6-1	4-3	7-2	3-2	4-1	5-9	L1
Texas Tech	14	9-4	69.2%	5-1	4-1	8-4	1-0	3-2	5-7-1	L2
North Texas	14	9-4-1	69.2%	5-1-1	3-3	9-4-1	—	4-1	10-4	W1
South Florida	13	9-4	69.2%	5-1	3-3	6-3	3-1	3-2	7-6	W2
Central Michigan	13	9-4	69.2%	5-0	4-3	5-1	4-3	4-1	5-7-1	L1
Old Dominion	13	9-4	69.2%	4-2	5-1	6-3	3-1	3-2	4-9	L2
Washington	13	9-4	69.2%	4-3	4-1	7-3	2-1	4-1	5-8	W1
Fresno State	13	8-4-1	66.7%	4-1-1	3-3	6-2	2-2-1	5-0	5-7-1	W5
San Diego State	13	8-4	66.7%	5-0	3-3	7-2	1-2	3-2	7-6	L1
TCU	13	8-4-1	66.7%	3-2-1	4-2	6-3-1	2-1	3-2	3-10	W3
Iowa State	12	8-4	66.7%	5-1	2-3	6-3	2-1	3-2	6-6	L1
Rutgers	12	8-4	66.7%	5-2	3-2	3-1	5-3	3-2	7-4-1	W3
Liberty	12	8-4	66.7%	5-1	3-3	6-3	2-1	5-0	4-8	W7
Western Michigan	14	9-5	64.3%	4-2	3-3	5-4	4-1	3-2	4-10	W3
Ohio State	14	9-5	64.3%	4-3	4-1	9-5	—	3-2	6-8	L1
Virginia	14	9-5	64.3%	5-2	4-1	5-4	4-1	2-3	4-10	L2
Pittsburgh	13	7-4-2	63.6%	5-2	2-1-2	5-2-1	2-2-1	1-3-1	8-5	L2
Eastern Michigan	12	7-4-1	63.6%	3-3	4-1-1	1-2	6-2-1	2-2-1	4-7-1	L1
Miami	16	10-6	62.5%	4-4	4-1	7-5	3-1	4-1	2-14	L1
Duke	14	8-5	61.5%	2-3	4-2	5-5	3-0	4-1	9-5	W4
BYU	14	8-5	61.5%	5-0	2-4	6-3	2-2	3-1	7-6	L1
Ohio	13	8-5	61.5%	3-3	4-2	4-4	4-1	3-2	5-7-1	W2
NC State	13	8-5	61.5%	5-2	2-3	4-3	4-2	4-1	8-5	W3
East Carolina	13	8-5	61.5%	4-2	3-3	7-2	1-3	3-2	6-7	W2
Delaware	13	8-5	61.5%	5-1	2-4	3-3	5-2	3-2	6-7	W2
Toledo	13	8-5	61.5%	5-1	2-4	7-4	1-1	4-1	8-5	W1
UTSA	13	8-5	61.5%	4-2	3-3	5-3	3-2	2-3	7-5-1	W1
Utah	13	8-5	61.5%	4-2	3-3	8-5	—	3-2	9-4	W1
Indiana	16	9-6	60%	2-4	4-1	8-5	1-1	4-1	6-9-1	W3
Alabama	15	9-6	60%	4-3	5-1	7-4	2-2	2-3	5-9-1	L1
Ole Miss	15	9-6	60%	6-3	3-1	7-4	2-2	2-3	8-6-1	L2
Stanford	12	6-4-2	60%	3-2-1	3-2-1	0-1	6-3-2	3-1-1	6-6	L1
Hawai'i	13	7-5-1	58.3%	5-2-1	2-3	2-2-1	5-3	2-3	7-6	L1
New Mexico	13	7-5-1	58.3%	2-4	5-1	3-3	4-2-1	3-1-1	8-5	—
SMU	13	7-5-1	58.3%	4-2	2-3-1	5-5	2-0-1	4-1	2-11	W1
Florida Atlantic	12	7-5	58.3%	4-2	3-3	3-0	4-5	2-3	9-3	L3
Nevada	12	7-5	58.3%	3-3	4-2	1-1	6-4	3-2	7-5	L1
Northern Illinois	12	7-5	58.3%	4-2	3-3	2-3	5-2	3-2	6-6	W3
Kennesaw State	14	8-6	57.1%	3-3	5-2	4-5	4-1	1-4	5-8-1	L1
Cincinnati	13	6-5-1	54.5%	4-1-1	2-2	5-0-1	1-5	0-4-1	6-6-1	L3
Michigan State	12	6-5-1	54.5%	2-3-1	3-2	2-3	4-2-1	3-1-1	5-7	W2
Florida	12	6-5-1	54.5%	4-2	1-3-1	2-2	4-3-1	3-2	7-5	W1
New Mexico State	12	6-5	54.5%	3-2	3-3	0-1	6-4	2-2	5-6	—
Georgia	14	7-6-1	53.8%	3-3-1	1-2	7-6-1	—	4-0-1	7-7	W3
Western Kentucky	13	7-6	53.8%	4-2	3-3	5-3	2-3	4-1	5-8	L1
Nebraska	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	2-2	4-3	3-3	2-3	8-5	L3
Army	13	7-6	53.8%	2-3	4-2	3-4	4-2	3-2	6-7	L1
Southern Miss	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	3-2	5-5	2-1	2-3	3-9-1	W1
UConn	13	7-6	53.8%	4-2	2-4	4-6	3-0	4-1	8-5	W2
Oklahoma	13	7-6	53.8%	2-6	4-0	4-6	3-0	3-2	4-9	L2
Iowa	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	3-2	4-4	3-2	3-2	8-5	W2
Vanderbilt	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	3-2	4-4	3-2	2-3	8-5	L1
Arkansas State	13	7-6	53.8%	4-2	2-4	3-3	4-3	3-2	6-7	W1
Clemson	13	7-6	53.8%	3-4	4-1	5-6	2-0	4-1	6-7	L1
Utah State	13	7-6	53.8%	5-1	2-4	3-3	4-3	3-2	7-6	L1
Arizona State	13	7-6	53.8%	4-3	3-2	3-4	4-2	4-1	5-8	L1
California	13	7-6	53.8%	2-4	5-2	1-4	6-2	3-2	5-8	W2
UNLV	14	7-7	50%	2-4	5-2	5-6	2-1	2-3	6-8	L2
Houston	13	6-6-1	50%	2-3-1	3-3	3-3-1	3-3	2-3	7-6	W2
App State	13	6-6-1	50%	3-3	2-3	4-3	2-3-1	1-3-1	4-7-1	—
Georgia Tech	13	6-6-1	50%	3-2-1	2-3	3-5-1	3-1	1-4	5-8	W1
Arizona	13	6-6-1	50%	5-2	1-3-1	4-4	2-2-1	0-4-1	7-6	L3
Kansas	12	6-6	50%	3-4	3-2	2-5	4-1	2-3	8-4	W1
UL Monroe	12	6-6	50%	2-3	4-3	1-2	5-4	4-1	6-6	W3
Akron	12	6-6	50%	4-2	2-4	2-1	4-5	3-2	7-5	W1
Buffalo	12	6-6	50%	4-3	2-3	3-3	3-3	2-3	3-8-1	L3
UAB	12	6-6	50%	4-2	2-4	1-1	5-5	2-3	7-4-1	L1
Auburn	12	6-6	50%	3-4	3-2	2-2	4-4	2-3	4-8	L1
San José State	12	6-6	50%	2-4	4-2	3-4	3-2	1-4	8-4	L4
Kentucky	12	6-6	50%	5-2	1-4	2-2	4-4	3-2	7-5	L2
Air Force	12	5-5-1	50%	1-4-1	4-1	1-3	4-2-1	2-2	3-8-1	—
Temple	12	6-6	50%	2-4	4-2	3-1	3-5	1-4	8-4	L2
Georgia State	12	6-6	50%	2-4	4-2	0-1	6-5	2-3	4-6-2	W2
Tulsa	12	6-6	50%	5-1	1-5	3-1	3-5	3-2	7-5	W1
Jacksonville State	14	6-7-1	46.2%	3-2-1	3-4	1-3-1	5-4	2-3	6-8	L3
Miami (OH)	14	6-7-1	46.2%	3-2-1	3-3	3-3-1	3-4	2-3	7-7	L2
Missouri	13	6-7	46.2%	3-5	2-2	5-4	1-3	2-3	6-7	W1
Florida International	13	6-7	46.2%	1-5	5-1	2-3	4-4	2-3	10-3	L1
Tennessee	13	6-7	46.2%	3-4	2-2	5-6	1-1	1-4	8-5	L2
Memphis	13	6-7	46.2%	3-3	3-3	5-4	1-3	3-2	11-1-1	L1
Coastal Carolina	13	6-7	46.2%	4-2	1-5	1-1	5-6	3-2	7-6	W2
Texas A&M	13	6-7	46.2%	3-5	3-2	5-7	1-0	2-3	7-5-1	L1
USC	13	6-7	46.2%	4-3	2-3	5-6	1-1	0-5	6-7	L6
Missouri State	13	6-7	46.2%	4-2	2-4	3-3	3-4	2-3	7-6	L2
Louisiana Tech	13	6-7	46.2%	3-3	3-3	4-5	2-2	1-4	5-8	L1
Texas State	13	6-7	46.2%	3-3	3-3	4-5	2-2	2-3	5-8	L1
Georgia Southern	13	5-6-2	45.5%	2-4	3-2-1	2-2-2	3-4	3-1-1	6-6-1	—
UCF	12	5-6	45.5%	5-2	0-4	4-2	1-4	1-3	5-7	—
Oklahoma State	12	5-6	45.5%	3-3	2-3	0-1	5-5	4-1	5-7	W4
Kent State	12	5-6	45.5%	2-2	3-4	1-0	4-6	1-4	6-5	L2
Virginia Tech	12	5-6	45.5%	2-4	2-2	1-3	4-3	2-3	4-8	L2
James Madison	14	6-8	42.9%	3-4	3-4	5-7	1-1	1-4	8-6	L4
Troy	14	6-8	42.9%	1-5	4-3	1-4	5-4	3-2	5-9	W3
Illinois	13	5-7-1	41.7%	3-3-1	1-4	3-4-1	2-3	2-2-1	5-8	W1
Kansas State	12	5-7	41.7%	2-4	3-2	1-6	4-1	2-3	4-8	L1
Bowling Green	12	5-7	41.7%	2-4	3-3	3-3	2-4	3-2	3-7-2	W1
Wyoming	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-4	3-1	2-6	1-4	5-7	L4
Syracuse	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-3	2-1	3-6	3-2	4-8	W1
Maryland	12	5-7	41.7%	3-4	2-2	2-1	3-6	1-4	6-6	L2
Purdue	12	5-7	41.7%	2-5	3-2	2-1	3-6	2-3	7-5	L3
Ball State	12	5-7	41.7%	2-3	3-4	2-1	3-6	2-3	4-8	L3
Boston College	12	5-7	41.7%	3-4	2-3	0-4	5-3	3-2	7-5	L1
Marshall	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-4	4-4	1-3	2-3	7-4-1	L1
Massachusetts	12	5-7	41.7%	3-3	2-4	1-0	4-7	1-4	8-3-1	L1
South Carolina	12	5-7	41.7%	2-5	3-1	2-4	3-3	2-3	5-7	L1
Boise State	14	5-8-1	38.5%	4-3	1-4-1	4-6-1	1-2	2-3	7-6-1	L1
Navy	13	5-8	38.5%	3-3	1-4	3-6	2-2	3-2	7-5-1	W1
Louisiana	13	5-8	38.5%	2-4	3-3	0-5	5-3	2-3	8-5	L3
Rice	13	5-8	38.5%	2-5	2-3	1-3	4-5	1-4	8-5	W1
Minnesota	13	4-7-1	36.4%	3-3	1-4	1-4-1	3-3	3-1-1	7-6	—
Colorado	12	4-7-1	36.4%	2-5	2-2-1	1-1	3-6-1	1-4	5-7	W1
Florida State	12	4-7-1	36.4%	4-2-1	0-5	3-5-1	1-2	1-4	5-6-1	L4
Mississippi State	13	4-8	33.3%	3-3	1-4	0-3	4-5	0-5	5-8	L5
Penn State	13	4-8-1	33.3%	1-6	2-2-1	1-7-1	3-1	2-2-1	7-6	W1
Sam Houston	12	4-8	33.3%	2-3	2-5	0-1	4-7	3-2	4-8	L1
Wisconsin	12	4-8	33.3%	1-6	3-2	0-4	4-4	3-2	2-10	L1
UTEP	12	4-8	33.3%	1-5	3-3	2-2	2-6	1-4	6-6	L4
UCLA	12	4-8	33.3%	2-4	2-4	1-3	3-5	1-4	6-6	W1
Notre Dame	12	4-8	33.3%	1-6	3-2	4-8	—	3-2	6-6	W3
North Carolina	12	4-8	33.3%	2-4	2-4	2-1	2-7	0-5	4-8	L5
Louisville	13	4-9	30.8%	3-5	1-3	2-8	2-1	1-4	5-8	L1
Middle Tennessee	12	3-8	27.3%	2-4	1-4	0-3	3-5	1-3	7-3-1	—
LSU	13	3-9-1	25%	2-4-1	1-4	1-4-1	2-5	1-4	4-9	L1
West Virginia	12	3-9	25%	2-4	1-5	1-2	2-7	2-3	5-6-1	L2
Michigan	13	3-10	23.1%	1-5	1-5	2-7	1-3	2-3	6-7	W1
Charlotte	12	2-9-1	18.2%	2-4	0-4-1	0-1	2-8-1	2-2-1	6-5	L1
South Alabama	12	2-9-1	18.2%	1-5	1-4-1	1-6	1-3-1	2-3	4-7-1	L1
Colorado State	12	2-9	18.2%	1-5	1-4	0-3	2-6	0-4	5-7	—
Baylor	12	2-10	16.7%	1-6	1-4	1-6	1-4	2-3	5-7	L1
Oregon State	12	2-10	16.7%	1-6	1-4	0-3	2-7	0-5	3-9	L7
Texas	13	2-11	15.4%	2-4	0-5	2-8	0-3	1-4	7-6	L4

Starts and finishes

1st half vs 2nd half: margins, leads that held or slipped, and halves that split from the full game

Team	GP	At half	1H margin	2H margin	1H share	Led, lost	Trailed, won	1H cover only	Game cover only
Sacramento State	1	1-0	+4.0	-7.0	100%	1	0	0	0
Cincinnati	13	8-5	+7.7	-3.0	64%	1	0	2	1
Wake Forest	13	11-2	+8.2	-2.2	60%	2	0	1	0
Tennessee	13	7-3-3	+10.4	+0.5	60%	1	0	1	0
South Carolina	12	6-6	+5.2	-4.6	68%	2	0	1	2
Tulane	14	10-3-1	+6.5	-2.7	63%	0	0	3	0
Texas Tech	14	12-2	+18.3	+9.4	58%	0	0	0	2
Maryland	12	5-7	+2.7	-5.7	61%	1	0	2	2
Nebraska	13	8-4-1	+6.1	-2.0	59%	1	0	3	0
Old Dominion	13	8-4-1	+10.7	+2.8	57%	0	1	2	1
Oregon	15	12-2-1	+13.3	+5.7	55%	0	0	3	0
Arkansas	12	6-5-1	+3.1	-4.0	65%	4	0	5	0
Washington State	13	10-3	+4.5	-2.2	60%	3	0	1	0
Liberty	12	6-3-3	+2.9	-3.8	48%	3	0	6	1
Toledo	13	9-4	+12.1	+5.5	58%	2	1	1	3
UConn	13	9-3-1	+7.3	+1.0	53%	2	1	2	3
California	13	8-5	+2.1	-3.9	54%	2	1	2	0
Central Michigan	13	9-4	+2.5	-3.5	61%	2	0	1	0
North Texas	14	10-2-2	+12.0	+6.6	54%	0	1	1	1
Northern Illinois	12	4-6-2	-0.9	-6.3	60%	2	0	5	1
UTSA	13	8-5	+5.8	+0.8	53%	1	0	2	1
Florida Atlantic	12	5-7	-0.9	-5.9	61%	1	0	2	2
Pittsburgh	13	9-4	+6.9	+2.0	56%	2	1	1	0
TCU	13	9-3-1	+5.2	+0.2	53%	1	0	3	0
Georgia State	12	3-8-1	-6.7	-11.4	56%	2	0	4	0
Alabama	15	9-4-2	+7.5	+2.8	58%	0	0	2	2
Marshall	12	7-4-1	+2.5	-2.0	55%	3	1	2	4
Oklahoma	13	9-1-3	+7.5	+3.2	57%	1	0	1	1
San Diego State	13	9-3-1	+7.5	+3.5	61%	1	0	1	2
Florida State	12	6-5-1	+7.4	+3.6	54%	1	0	0	1
Ohio	13	9-3-1	+4.8	+1.1	52%	2	1	3	2
NC State	13	6-7	+3.4	-0.3	62%	0	2	3	2
Iowa	13	8-3-2	+8.4	+4.8	59%	1	1	0	3
Clemson	13	7-5-1	+5.0	+1.7	61%	1	1	2	0
Virginia	14	7-4-3	+7.1	+4.1	55%	1	2	1	1
Western Michigan	14	9-5	+5.3	+2.2	52%	2	3	2	4
Iowa State	12	9-2-1	+5.1	+2.2	56%	2	0	3	0
SMU	13	9-4	+7.2	+4.5	50%	1	1	2	1
Buffalo	12	4-6-2	+1.6	-1.1	46%	2	2	3	1
Miami	16	12-2-2	+9.4	+6.8	46%	1	0	1	2
Louisiana	13	5-7-1	-0.3	-2.9	62%	1	1	1	2
UL Monroe	12	4-8	-6.5	-8.8	52%	1	0	2	0
Massachusetts	12	2-10	-12.6	-14.9	80%	2	0	2	0
Rutgers	12	6-5-1	-0.5	-2.7	57%	2	1	4	2
Utah	13	10-3	+12.2	+10.2	50%	0	1	0	1
Auburn	12	6-4-2	+3.9	+2.2	53%	2	1	4	2
Mississippi State	13	5-7-1	+0.9	-0.8	46%	1	1	1	4
Kansas	12	5-6-1	+1.5	-0.2	55%	1	1	2	1
Georgia	14	9-4-1	+8.1	+6.4	53%	1	3	3	2
Texas State	13	9-3-1	+4.5	+2.9	49%	2	0	3	2
Notre Dame	12	10-2	+13.0	+11.4	56%	0	0	1	3
Florida	12	6-5-1	-0.4	-2.0	62%	2	0	1	0
Delaware	13	8-4-1	-0.2	-1.8	52%	1	0	3	0
Jacksonville State	14	8-5-1	+2.2	+0.7	51%	1	2	1	2
New Mexico	13	7-6	+3.1	+1.7	56%	0	2	2	2
Kennesaw State	14	9-4-1	+1.3	-0.1	49%	0	0	2	3
Baylor	12	4-6-2	-0.2	-1.3	54%	1	1	1	1
San José State	12	4-7-1	-5.0	-6.1	58%	2	0	2	0
Indiana	16	14-1-1	+15.4	+14.5	51%	0	1	2	2
Akron	12	5-6-1	-2.2	-3.0	54%	2	1	2	2
Boise State	14	8-6	+3.3	+2.5	55%	0	1	0	3
Ole Miss	15	12-3	+8.3	+7.6	54%	1	2	2	2
Air Force	12	4-8	+0.1	-0.6	40%	1	1	1	0
Tulsa	12	5-7	-2.6	-3.2	54%	2	1	2	2
Minnesota	13	7-6	+0.3	-0.2	56%	1	2	1	0
UNLV	14	6-8	+3.3	+2.8	52%	0	4	1	1
Eastern Michigan	12	4-7-1	-2.6	-3.1	53%	1	1	1	1
Illinois	13	9-4	+3.1	+2.7	50%	0	0	0	3
Arkansas State	13	4-7-2	-0.9	-1.3	58%	1	2	1	2
Southern Miss	13	8-5	+0.8	+0.5	47%	1	0	3	2
Northwestern	13	5-8	+1.9	+1.6	51%	0	2	2	1
Kansas State	12	6-3-3	+1.5	+1.3	46%	2	1	0	0
App State	13	5-7-1	-2.7	-2.9	48%	1	1	1	1
Army	13	8-4-1	+1.2	+1.1	49%	3	2	2	2
Miami (OH)	14	6-7-1	+0.9	+0.9	47%	1	2	2	3
Washington	13	7-4-2	+7.7	+7.7	47%	1	2	3	1
Michigan State	12	3-9	-2.7	-2.7	44%	0	1	1	2
LSU	13	7-5-1	+1.5	+1.5	51%	1	1	2	2
Ohio State	14	13-1	+12.0	+12.1	49%	1	0	2	3
Texas A&M	13	10-2-1	+6.3	+6.5	49%	1	2	3	2
Utah State	13	7-6	+1.0	+1.2	53%	2	1	0	3
Virginia Tech	12	4-8	-4.6	-4.2	46%	2	1	4	2
Navy	13	7-5-1	+3.0	+3.5	52%	0	3	2	2
Houston	13	8-4-1	+2.8	+3.4	53%	0	2	0	2
Missouri State	13	3-8-2	-1.8	-1.3	49%	0	2	3	4
Georgia Tech	13	7-4-2	+3.2	+3.9	47%	1	1	1	1
Michigan	13	7-3-3	+3.2	+3.9	50%	0	0	1	2
Arizona State	13	7-5-1	+0.3	+1.0	47%	1	1	2	2
Hawai'i	13	9-4	+2.1	+2.8	51%	1	1	0	1
Oklahoma State	12	2-10	-10.0	-9.2	61%	1	0	0	0
Louisville	13	6-6-1	+3.9	+4.8	50%	0	3	2	2
Boston College	12	4-5-3	-4.3	-3.1	50%	3	0	1	2
Rice	13	3-10	-7.6	-6.2	54%	0	2	2	2
East Carolina	13	7-6	+5.6	+7.0	52%	0	2	2	2
South Alabama	12	5-7	-2.7	-1.3	46%	2	1	0	3
Colorado	12	3-7-2	-5.5	-4.1	51%	1	1	0	2
Fresno State	13	8-5	+2.8	+4.2	55%	1	2	2	0
Georgia Southern	13	8-5	-3.0	-1.4	55%	2	1	1	2
Penn State	13	9-3-1	+4.4	+6.1	46%	2	0	1	1
BYU	14	8-6	+5.2	+7.1	51%	0	4	2	3
Bowling Green	12	5-6-1	-2.8	-0.9	49%	2	1	3	3
South Florida	13	9-3-1	+7.5	+9.5	48%	2	1	3	2
Middle Tennessee	12	1-10-1	-5.4	-3.1	49%	0	1	2	4
UCLA	12	4-8	-8.8	-6.4	45%	1	0	1	1
Duke	14	7-4-3	+1.3	+3.9	50%	0	0	2	1
Troy	14	7-7	-1.5	+1.1	47%	2	3	1	5
Stanford	12	2-7-3	-6.5	-3.8	54%	0	1	2	1
Purdue	12	4-8	-7.9	-5.2	56%	2	0	2	2
Sam Houston	12	0-10-2	-11.5	-8.6	41%	0	1	1	0
Missouri	13	6-5-2	+4.1	+7.2	48%	1	2	2	3
Syracuse	12	3-8-1	-9.0	-5.8	47%	1	1	2	1
Kentucky	12	4-7-1	-3.3	-0.1	53%	0	0	1	0
Western Kentucky	13	7-6	+1.6	+5.1	49%	1	3	1	4
Temple	12	5-7	-2.7	+0.8	51%	2	2	0	1
UCF	12	5-6-1	-1.4	+2.2	50%	2	1	2	1
New Mexico State	12	4-6-2	-4.8	-1.2	42%	1	0	2	2
Florida International	13	4-8-1	-2.8	+1.3	51%	0	3	1	3
Texas	13	6-6-1	+2.9	+7.2	44%	0	3	1	4
Louisiana Tech	13	6-7	+1.1	+5.5	40%	0	2	0	2
Arizona	13	6-7	+3.9	+8.3	51%	1	4	1	2
Memphis	13	8-5	+2.3	+7.0	58%	2	2	2	4
USC	13	6-7	+3.8	+8.9	48%	0	3	2	1
Wyoming	12	4-8	-4.8	+0.3	44%	1	1	1	1
Coastal Carolina	13	4-9	-8.1	-2.8	47%	1	3	1	1
UTEP	12	2-9-1	-6.2	-0.9	48%	0	0	1	0
UAB	12	3-8-1	-9.0	-2.8	51%	1	2	4	2
Nevada	12	4-8	-8.1	-1.8	46%	2	1	3	1
Ball State	12	2-9-1	-10.3	-3.8	43%	0	2	1	2
Colorado State	12	1-10-1	-9.5	-2.8	43%	0	1	0	2
Vanderbilt	13	6-4-3	+4.5	+11.2	45%	0	2	1	4
North Carolina	12	2-8-2	-6.0	+0.8	45%	0	1	0	1
Wisconsin	12	3-9	-7.8	-0.9	33%	0	1	0	2
Charlotte	12	0-11-1	-14.8	-7.2	41%	0	1	2	5
Oregon State	12	2-10	-9.8	-1.4	38%	2	2	0	2
Kent State	12	3-9	-10.8	-1.6	39%	1	3	1	2
West Virginia	12	3-8-1	-9.3	+0.3	39%	0	0	0	3
James Madison	14	9-4-1	+3.5	+15.2	44%	1	3	1	4

1st-half trend signals

Backtest 2016–26: each game graded with the teams’ records from earlier that season · break-even 52.4%

Signal	Rule	Record	Verdict
Hot 1st-half cover team	Covered 70%+ of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions)	645-736 (46.7%)	No edge
Fade a cold 1st-half team	Opponent covered 30% or less of 1st halves this season (5+ decisions)	628-656 (48.9%)	No edge
1st-half over teams	Both teams went over in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each)	74-95 (43.8%)	No edge
1st-half under teams	Both teams went under in 65%+ of their 1st halves (4+ each)	169-135 (55.6%)	Not proven yet
Fast starter edge	Average 1st-half margins point past the 1st-half line	1311-1284 (50.5%)	No edge

These trends appear on the weekly Halftime table when a game qualifies. None has a proven edge yet, so they describe the data rather than pick bets.

NCAAF first-half team trends · 2025