Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2024)

Fri, Nov 29, 2024, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Georgia

Weather at kickoff40°F11 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

7-4 · Power #36

final

Final

Georgia

9-2 · Power #8

▲ winner

Closing spread

UGA -17.5

✓ GT W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 86 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 17–34 UGA

✓ UGA (89%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUGA -20

CloseUGA -17.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUGA -20

2.5 → GT

CloseUGA -17.5

2.5 pts toward Georgia Tech

Total

Open54.5

▼ 6

Close48.5

Down 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UGA -20 · closed UGA -17.5 · moved 2.5 toward GTmodel UGA -17.5 matches the line

model UGA -17.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 95%, covered 53% (76 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (95 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUGA -20

CloseUGA -17.5

Total54.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 17.5-point home favorite against GT, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: UGA won 44–42; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 86 points went over 48.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 89%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 26.8 against an average line of 17.9; 41.4 points a game (usually 54.4). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TA&M vs MSST 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	51–10	W	O40.5
Close	UGA vs AUB 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & season form	-21	31–13	L	U50
Close	ALA vs ARK 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar season form & rest	-19.5	24–21	L	U45.5
Close	FSU vs SYR 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-18.5	41–3	W	U53
Close	PSU vs RUTG 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & season form	-14	28–0	W	U45
Close	CIN vs NAVY 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-18.5	20–10	L	U43.5
Loose	LSU vs UAB 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar situation & rest	-15.25	41–10	W	O50.5
Loose	ND vs BC 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar situation & rest	-20	44–0	W	O42
Loose	PSU vs RUTG 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & situation	-19.5	27–6	W	U40
Loose	ALA vs MIZ 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & total	-16	34–0	W	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GT WLLWL	4-5	44%	1-3	2-3
UGA WLLWL	3-8	27%	1-4	2-8

Venue/role: GT away, as underdog; UGA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT OUUUO	3-7	30%	7-4
UGA UOUOO	5-6	45%	9-2

Went over in Q4. Of 337 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GT	6-4 60%	3-5 38%	3-6 33%
UGA	8-2 80%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

GT 40–69 UGA (5 tied) UGA leads · 114 games since 1902 · UGA has won the last 8 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 25 2023	Georgia 31 @ Georgia Tech 23	UGA -24.5	GT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT+2.9 →+7.2▲ 4.3#37

UGA+24.2 →+20.9▼ 3.3#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

Longer bar = better

UGA

#48

Offense

UGA better ▶

#31

#65

Defense

UGA better ▶

#27

+0.3 #47

Turnovers

◀ GT better

0.0 #71

68 plays #54

Pace

Even

68 plays #61

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	GT off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #68	18.5 #16	UGA
Yards / play	6.08 #51	4.94 #25	UGA
PPA / play	+0.20 #33	+0.05 #42	Even
Success rate	45% #41	37% #25	Even

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	33.2 #30	23.1 #53	UGA
Yards / play	6.31 #31	5.65 #74	UGA
PPA / play	+0.19 #35	+0.10 #67	UGA
Success rate	46% #28	41% #64	UGA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

GT scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	7.5 #32	7.4 #90	14.9 #54	4.4 #109	8.6 #33	13.0 #72
UGA allowed	5.2 #71	4.7 #13	9.9 #27	5.3 #57	3.4 #5	8.6 #17

UGA scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	5.0 #87	9.7 #42	14.7 #57	9.2 #14	9.3 #19	18.5 #5
GT allowed	4.2 #44	6.8 #54	11.0 #40	5.1 #52	7.0 #73	12.1 #62

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.