Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2025)

Fri, Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Jacksonville State

Weather at kickoff44°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

9-3 · Power #97

▲ winner

Final

Jacksonville State

8-4 · Power #101

final

Closing spread

KENN -3

✓ KENN W

Total

62.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 30–28 JXST

✓ KENN (56%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -1.5

CloseKENN -3

Total58.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJXST -1.5

4.5 → KENN

CloseKENN -3

4.5 pts toward Kennesaw State

Total

Open58.5

▲ 4

Close62.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JXST -1.5 · closed KENN -3 · moved 4.5 toward KENNmodel JXST -1.5

model JXST -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 58%, covered 49% (195 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 45% (156 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -1.5

CloseKENN -3

Total58.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KENN as a 3-point road favorite at JXST, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: KENN won 19–15; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 62.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.5 against an average line of 3.1; 60.5 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 6 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JXST @ WKU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-0.5	17–19	L	U62.5
Close	KENN @ JXST 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-3.5	26–35	L	O56
Close	CONN @ BC 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	38–23	W	O58.5
Close	APP @ CCU 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	24–38	L	U62.5
Close	UL @ CCU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form	-6.5	34–24	W	O57
Close	APP @ USM 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & rest	-3	22–38	L	O56.5
Close	KENN @ LIB 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	48–42	W	O55.5
Close	APP @ CCU 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-3	28–35	L	U65.25
Close	BOIS @ UNLV 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar total & situation	-2.5	44–20	W	O62
Close	MRSH @ APP 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-4	24–26	L	U56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN WLLWW	8-4	67%	3-3	5-3
JXST LWWLW	6-6	50%	4-1	5-3

Venue/role: KENN away, as favorite; JXST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN UUOOO	5-7	42%	9-3
JXST UOOUO	8-4	67%	8-4

Stayed under: it needed 53 in the 4th quarter and got 24. 46% of games with totals 58.5–66.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
JXST	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

KENN 4–4 JXST Series tied · 8 games since 2017 · JXST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	Kennesaw State 26 @ Jacksonville State 35	KENN -3.5	JXST W
Oct 4 2024	Jacksonville State 63 @ Kennesaw State 24	JXST -17.5	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENN−24.1 →−8.1▲ 16.0#94

JXST−5.1 →−9.7▼ 4.6#101

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

KENN

Longer bar = better

JXST

#59

Offense

JXST better ▶

#44

#72

Defense

Even

#82

−0.2 #88

Turnovers

JXST better ▶

+0.8 #14

69 plays #44

Pace

JXST faster ▶

71 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENN has the ball

Advantage: KENN offense

	KENN off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	29.1 #59	26.8 #81	KENN
Yards / play	5.96 #45	5.80 #90	KENN
PPA / play	+0.15 #52	+0.11 #76	KENN
Success rate	42% #80	43% #82	Even

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	30.2 #46	25.1 #73	JXST
Yards / play	6.04 #40	5.79 #88	JXST
PPA / play	+0.17 #46	+0.09 #66	Even
Success rate	45% #45	41% #60	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

KENN scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	10.1 #7	4.7 #124	14.8 #68	6.2 #60	7.1 #61	13.3 #58
JXST allowed	6.8 #101	5.6 #22	12.4 #68	5.7 #71	8.7 #119	14.3 #103

JXST scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.3 #55	9.8 #44	16.1 #49	6.1 #64	8.0 #38	14.1 #45
KENN allowed	4.6 #49	6.4 #40	11.0 #43	5.7 #71	7.8 #100	13.5 #93

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.