Army @ UTSA: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 14 · at UTSA · Conference game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Army

5-5 · Power #83

▲ winner

Final

UTSA

6-5 · Power #65

final

Closing spread

UTSA -8.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

ARMY 21–30 UTSA

✗ UTSA (74%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -6.5

CloseUTSA -8.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTSA -6.5

2 → UTSA

CloseUTSA -8.5

2 pts toward UTSA

Total

Open51.5

▼ 1

Close50.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTSA -6.5 · closed UTSA -8.5 · moved 2 toward UTSAmodel UTSA -11

model UTSA -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 7.5–9.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 50% (164 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 56% (91 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -6.5

CloseUTSA -8.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTSA as an 8.5-point home favorite against ARMY, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: ARMY won 27–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 50.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.8 against an average line of 8.8; 46.6 points a game (usually 53.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	DUKE vs VT 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-10	24–7	W	U50
Very close	LIB vs VT 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-10.5	22–23	L	U46.25
Very close	UVA vs WAKE 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-7	9–16	L	U48.5
Very close	MRSH vs GAST 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-9.5	35–20	W	O51.5
Very close	AFA vs HAW 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-7	35–44	L	O52.5
Very close	GT vs SYR 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	31–22	W	O51.5
Very close	CMU vs WMU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-10	10–12	L	U48.75
Very close	TROY vs ARST 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-7.5	10–23	L	U52.5
Very close	JMU vs GAST 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-10	42–40	L	O52
Close	FLA vs MIZ 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & total	-10.75	24–17	L	U53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY LWWLL	4-6	40%	4-1	2-2
UTSA LWLWW	6-5	55%	4-1	3-3

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; UTSA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY UUUUO	3-7	30%	5-5
UTSA OOOUO	8-3	73%	6-5

Went over in Q4. Of 636 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–54.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
UTSA	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ARMY 2–0 UTSA ARMY leads · 2 games since 2023 · ARMY has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2024	UTSA 24 @ Army 29	ARMY -6.5	UTSA W
Sep 15 2023	Army 37 @ UTSA 29	UTSA -7	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−9.7 →−6.5▲ 3.2#91

UTSA−2.5 →+0.3▲ 2.8#64

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

ARMY

Longer bar = better

UTSA

#101

Offense

UTSA better ▶

#32

#82

Defense

Even

#92

+0.4 #38

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #34

71 plays #27

Pace

◀ ARMY faster

69 plays #48

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	22.6 #108	29.8 #108	Even
Yards / play	4.80 #128	6.01 #111	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #84	+0.15 #95	Even
Success rate	42% #82	41% #55	UTSA

When UTSA has the ball

Advantage: UTSA offense

	UTSA off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	34.6 #20	22.4 #48	UTSA
Yards / play	6.06 #39	5.68 #79	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.20 #31	+0.13 #86	UTSA
Success rate	46% #36	45% #115	UTSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	3.5 #122	7.2 #87	10.7 #112	5.8 #78	5.8 #95	11.6 #89
UTSA allowed	4.7 #53	8.0 #81	12.7 #70	9.5 #132	7.6 #98	17.1 #132

UTSA scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	7.5 #31	11.3 #18	18.7 #20	8.6 #16	7.3 #55	15.9 #25
ARMY allowed	5.8 #81	5.1 #19	10.9 #43	3.5 #23	6.7 #71	10.2 #42

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.