Kent State @ Oklahoma: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2025)

Sat, Oct 4, 2025, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Oklahoma

Weather at kickoff84°F13 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kent State

1-3 · Power #132

final

Final

Oklahoma

4-0 · Power #16

▲ winner

Closing spread

OU -46.5

✓ KENT W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 44 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 1–49 OU

✓ OU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOU -45.5

CloseOU -46.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOU -45.5

1 → OU

CloseOU -46.5

1 pt toward Oklahoma

Total

Open53.5

no move

Close53.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OU -45.5 · closed OU -46.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel OU -52

model OU -52

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (188 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOU -45.5

CloseOU -46.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 5 games most like OU as a 46.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: OU won 44–0; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 5 similar games. 44 points stayed under 53.5, as in 1 of 5.

Favorite won

5 of 5100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 55%

Went over

4 of 580%

Normal range · usually 73%

Only 5 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 49.8 against an average line of 43.1; 64.6 points a game (usually 63). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 5 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MIZ vs MASS 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-44.5	42–6	L	U57
Loose	TENN vs UTEP 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar total	-41.5	56–0	W	O54
Loose	PSU vs MASS 2023 · Week 7 · loose · similar situation	-42	63–0	W	O55
Loose	UGA vs MASS 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar total & situation	-42.5	59–21	L	O55.5
Loose	FSU vs KENT 2025 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & total	-45	66–10	W	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT –LWL	1-2	33%	0-2	1-2
OU LWWW	3-1	75%	2-1	3-1

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; OU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT –OOO	3-0	100%	1-3
OU UUUU	0-4	0%	4-0

Stayed under: it needed 10 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 52% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	1-9 10%	3-6 33%	5-4 56%
OU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−26.4 →−27.9▼ 1.5#136

OU+11.4 →+16.5▲ 5.1#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

KENT

Longer bar = better

#130

Offense

OU better ▶

#49

#131

Defense

OU better ▶

−0.3 #89

Turnovers

◀ KENT better

−1.5 #132

62 plays #119

Pace

OU faster ▶

71 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: OU defense

	KENT off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	18.3 #122	9.0 #3	OU
Yards / play	4.70 #129	3.71 #4	OU
PPA / play	−0.05 #132	−0.06 #20	OU
Success rate	32% #136	26% #2	OU

When OU has the ball

Advantage: OU offense

	OU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #59	44.0 #136	OU
Yards / play	6.06 #57	7.42 #137	OU
PPA / play	+0.20 #50	+0.27 #126	OU
Success rate	49% #29	48% #126	OU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	3.5 #118	3.5 #130	7.0 #127	3.5 #118	7.8 #57	11.3 #91
OU allowed	0.8 #5	2.5 #8	3.3 #5	4.0 #46	1.8 #1	5.8 #9

OU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	7.0 #53	11.3 #35	18.3 #42	6.0 #66	7.0 #67	13.0 #72
KENT allowed	14.0 #136	12.5 #131	26.5 #136	9.5 #130	8.0 #104	17.5 #131

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.