Kent State @ Florida State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Sat, Sep 20, 2025, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Florida State

Weather at kickoff93°F4 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

1-2 · Power #132

final

Final

Florida State

2-0 · Power #23

▲ winner

Closing spread

FSU -45.5

✓ FSU W

Total

56.5

▲ Over · 76 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 3–48 FSU

✓ FSU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFSU -42.5

CloseFSU -45.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFSU -42.5

3 → FSU

CloseFSU -45.5

3 pts toward Florida State

Total

Open56.5

no move

Close56.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FSU -42.5 · closed FSU -45.5 · moved 3 toward FSUmodel FSU -45

model FSU -45

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (164 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFSU -42.5

CloseFSU -45.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like FSU as a 45.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: FSU won 66–10; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 76 points went over 56.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 71 against an average line of 49.5; 71 points a game (usually 60.6). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TENN vs KENT 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-49.5	71–0	W	O62.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT –LW	1-1	50%	0-1	1-1
FSU WW	2-0	100%	2-0	1-0

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; FSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT –OO	2-0	100%	1-2
FSU OO	2-0	100%	2-0

Went over in Q3. Of 409 earlier overs in games with totals 52.5–60.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	1-9 10%	4-5 44%	5-4 56%
FSU	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KENT 0–1 FSU FSU leads · 1 game since 2025 · FSU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−26.4 →−27.4▼ 1.0#136

FSU0.0 →+11.1▲ 11.1#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

KENT

Longer bar = better

FSU

#118

Offense

FSU better ▶

#24

#106

Defense

FSU better ▶

#29

−0.3 #88

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #83

64 plays #94

Pace

FSU faster ▶

67 plays #63

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: FSU defense

	KENT off	FSU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #105	10.0 #17	FSU
Yards / play	4.98 #110	4.45 #35	FSU
PPA / play	−0.02 #124	−0.11 #18	FSU
Success rate	34% #132	37% #45	FSU

When FSU has the ball

Advantage: FSU offense

	FSU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	54.0 #5	36.7 #128	FSU
Yards / play	8.29 #5	6.50 #123	FSU
PPA / play	+0.50 #6	+0.16 #100	FSU
Success rate	43% #78	40% #71	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 123 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the FSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.3 #110	4.7 #104	7.0 #112	4.7 #83	9.3 #31	14.0 #59
FSU allowed	3.5	0.0	3.5	1.5	5.0	6.5

FSU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FSU scored	14.0	19.0	33.0	14.0	7.0	21.0
KENT allowed	7.0 #93	13.3 #119	20.3 #112	8.0 #104	8.3 #98	16.3 #113

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.