Oklahoma @ South Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2025)

Sat, Oct 18, 2025, 12:45 PM EDTWeek 8 · at South Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff76°F5 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Oklahoma

5-1 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

South Carolina

3-3 · Power #43

final

Closing spread

OU -4.5

✓ OU W

Total

43.5

▼ Under · 33 pts

Model before kickoff

OU 24–19 SC

✓ OU (63%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOU -4.5

CloseOU -4.5

Total42.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOU -4.5

no move

CloseOU -4.5

No change since the open

Total

Open42.5

▲ 1

Close43.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OU -4.5 · unchangedmodel OU -4.5 matches the line

model OU -4.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 50% (121 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenOU -4.5

CloseOU -4.5

Total42.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OU as a 4.5-point road favorite at SC, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: OU won 26–7; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 33 points stayed under 43.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.9 against an average line of 4.7; 51.7 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ISU @ UTAH 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	31–28	L	O42.5
Very close	TA&M @ AUB 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	41–43	L	O47
Very close	IOWA @ UCLA 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-6.5	17–20	L	U45
Very close	PITT @ MIA 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-4.25	42–16	W	O44
Very close	LOU @ UK 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4	41–14	W	O49.5
Very close	TA&M @ FLA 2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	33–20	W	O45.5
Very close	MINN @ ILL 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	25–17	W	U47
Very close	MIA @ NCSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-6	6–20	L	U44
Very close	CLEM @ FSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-4.5	34–28	W	O51
Very close	PSU @ WIS 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & spread	-6.5	28–13	W	U47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OU WWWLL	3-3	50%	1-0	3-2
SC LLWWL	3-3	50%	1-2	1-1

Venue/role: OU away, as favorite; SC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OU UUUUU	0-6	0%	5-1
SC UUOOU	2-4	33%	3-3

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 2. 55% of games with totals 39.5–47.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%
SC	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

OU 0–1 SC SC leads · 1 game since 2023 · SC has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2024	South Carolina 35 @ Oklahoma 9	SC -2.5	SC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OU+11.4 →+14.6▲ 3.2#16

SC+13.9 →+7.7▼ 6.2#39

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

Longer bar = better

#66

Offense

◀ OU better

#111

Defense

◀ OU better

#47

−1.2 #132

Turnovers

SC better ▶

+1.0 #15

70 plays #32

Pace

◀ OU faster

60 plays #130

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OU has the ball

Even matchup

	OU off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	29.2 #66	19.0 #33	SC
Yards / play	5.54 #84	5.16 #48	SC
PPA / play	+0.13 #75	0.00 #31	SC
Success rate	46% #40	42% #75	OU

When SC has the ball

Advantage: OU defense

	SC off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	22.3 #108	9.8 #2	OU
Yards / play	5.17 #107	3.75 #2	OU
PPA / play	+0.07 #105	−0.06 #12	OU
Success rate	37% #125	28% #2	OU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

OU scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	6.8 #56	10.2 #48	17.0 #51	7.5 #44	4.7 #110	12.2 #79
SC allowed	4.2 #54	5.3 #35	9.5 #35	3.8 #41	5.7 #55	9.5 #39

SC scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	4.7 #97	9.2 #65	13.8 #83	5.0 #87	3.5 #121	8.5 #122
OU allowed	0.5 #1	2.2 #3	2.7 #2	4.3 #53	2.8 #8	7.2 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.