Thu, Sep 26, 2024, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Temple · Conference game
Weather at kickoff73°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›
3-0 · Power #52
42
▲ winner
Final
@
1-3 · Power #127
14
final
Closing spread
ARMY -21.5
✓ ARMY W
Total
52.5
▲ Over · 56 pts
Model before kickoff
ARMY 33–14 TEM
✓ ARMY (92%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenARMY -13
CloseARMY -21.5
Total45.5 → 52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
8.5 pts toward Army
Total
Up 7 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARMY -13 · closed ARMY -21.5 · moved 8.5 toward ARMYmodel ARMY -12
Opened 45.5 · closed 52.5 · moved 7 upmodel 47
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 41% (29 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenARMY -13
CloseARMY -21.5
Total45.5 → 52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for ARMY as a 21.5-point road favorite at TEM. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Army ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Over trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Army
8.5 pts (ARMY -13 → ARMY -21.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved up 7
45.5 → 52.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Army have 3 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
ARMY−16.8 →−5.1▲ 11.7#88
TEM−13.8 →−18.1▼ 4.3#130
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

ARMY
Longer bar = better
TEM
#21
Offense
◀ ARMY better
#117
#62
Defense
◀ ARMY better
#111
+1.3 #15
Turnovers
◀ ARMY better
−2.5 #135
65 plays #83
Pace
Even
64 plays #89
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When ARMY has the ball
Advantage: ARMY offense
ARMY offTEM defEdge
Points / game 34.3 #41 36.5 #126 ARMY
Yards / play 6.61 #30 5.79 #95 ARMY
PPA / play +0.45 #10 +0.23 #114 ARMY
Success rate 62% #3 44% #110 ARMY
When TEM has the ball
Advantage: ARMY defense
TEM offARMY defEdge
Points / game 19.8 #116 9.3 #8 ARMY
Yards / play 4.98 #115 4.99 #52 ARMY
PPA / play −0.01 #116 +0.08 #70 ARMY
Success rate 36% #122 47% #118 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
ARMY scoring against the TEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
ARMY scored
9.3
#32
11.7
#40
21.0
#27
6.3
#76
7.0
#60
13.3
#68
TEM allowed
10.0
#124
14.8
#130
24.8
#131
6.3
#82
5.5
#69
11.8
#70
TEM scoring against the ARMY defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TEM scored
0.8
#133
6.8
#92
7.5
#121
4.3
#107
8.0
#45
12.3
#77
ARMY allowed
2.3
#24
2.3
#16
4.7
#10
2.3
#18
2.3
#17
4.7
#16

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
TEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 5 mph
gusts 8 mph · at kickoff
Rest
ARMY5d short
TEM5d short
Even
Tempo
Average 129 plays
slowavg 132fast