Utah @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2025)

Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Wyoming

Weather at kickoff56°F6 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Utah

2-0 · Power #8

▲ winner

Final

Wyoming

2-0 · Power #107

final

Closing spread

UTAH -24.5

✓ UTAH W

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

UTAH 33–9 WYO

✓ UTAH (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTAH -22.5

CloseUTAH -24.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTAH -22.5

2 → UTAH

CloseUTAH -24.5

2 pts toward Utah

Total

Open48.5

▼ 1

Close47.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTAH -22.5 · closed UTAH -24.5 · moved 2 toward UTAHmodel UTAH -20

model UTAH -20

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (160 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTAH -22.5

CloseUTAH -24.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 4 games most like UTAH as a 24.5-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: UTAH won 31–6; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 4 similar games. 37 points stayed under 47.5, as in 1 of 4.

Favorite won

3 of 475%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

3 of 475%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

3 of 475%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 4 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 23.5 against an average line of 23.4; 57.5 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 4 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	OSU @ MSU 2024 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & total	-23.5	38–7	W	U48.5
Loose	MIA @ TEM 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest	-23.5	41–7	W	O46.5
Loose	ALA @ VAN 2024 · Week 6 · loose	-23	35–40	L	O53.5
Loose	SYR @ CONN 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-23.5	48–14	W	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTAH WW	2-0	100%	1-0	2-0
WYO WW	2-0	100%	1-0	—

Venue/role: UTAH away, as favorite; WYO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTAH OO	2-0	100%	2-0
WYO UU	0-2	0%	2-0

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 53% of games with totals 43.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTAH	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
WYO	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTAH+4.1 →+12.0▲ 7.9#22

WYO−11.9 →−9.8▲ 2.1#107

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

UTAH

Longer bar = better

WYO

#14

Offense

◀ UTAH better

#72

#17

Defense

Even

+1.5 #20

Turnovers

◀ UTAH better

+0.5 #58

77 plays #13

Pace

◀ UTAH faster

69 plays #46

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTAH has the ball

Even matchup

	UTAH off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	53.0 #6	3.5 #2	Even
Yards / play	6.60 #36	3.21 #4	WYO
PPA / play	+0.43 #11	−0.21 #10	Even
Success rate	61% #3	32% #21	Even

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: UTAH defense

	WYO off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #106	9.5 #15	UTAH
Yards / play	5.83 #71	4.10 #24	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.16 #68	−0.20 #11	UTAH
Success rate	47% #44	32% #18	UTAH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 101 FBS teams

UTAH scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	13.5	15.5	29.0	14.0	10.0	24.0
WYO allowed	0.0	3.5	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.0

WYO scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	3.5	6.5	10.0	3.5	7.0	10.5
UTAH allowed	1.5	5.0	6.5	1.5	1.5	3.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.