Wyoming @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Sat, Sep 20, 2025, 10:25 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Colorado

Weather at kickoff60°F2 mphgusts 8DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

2-1 · Power #107

final

Final

Colorado

1-2 · Power #75

▲ winner

Closing spread

COLO -12.5

✓ COLO W

Total

45.5

▲ Over · 57 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 15–29 COLO

✓ COLO (84%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCOLO -13.5

CloseCOLO -12.5

Total44.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCOLO -13.5

1 → WYO

CloseCOLO -12.5

1 pt toward Wyoming

Total

Open44.5

▲ 1

Close45.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened COLO -13.5 · closed COLO -12.5 · moved 1 toward WYOmodel COLO -18.5

model COLO -18.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 11.5–13.5 since 2023: won 80%, covered 51% (79 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (196 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenCOLO -13.5

CloseCOLO -12.5

Total44.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like COLO as a 12.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: COLO won 37–20; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 57 points went over 45.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 78%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 15.6 against an average line of 12.6; 44 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WIS vs NU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-12	10–24	L	U43.5
Close	MRSH vs ODU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-14	41–35	L	O47
Close	FRES vs WYO 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-14	30–0	W	U50.5
Close	M-OH vs CMU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-10.5	46–7	W	O48.5
Close	ARMY vs CONN 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar total & rest	-10.5	34–17	W	O45
Close	MINN vs RUTG 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-14	31–0	W	U40.5
Close	WYO vs UNM 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & season form	-14	35–26	L	O41
Close	WYO vs HAW 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	42–9	W	O45
Close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Close	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO WWL	2-1	67%	1-0	0-1
COLO LWL	1-2	33%	1-1	1-0

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; COLO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO UUU	0-3	0%	2-1
COLO UUO	1-2	33%	1-2

Went over in Q4. Of 345 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–49.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
COLO	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−11.9 →−11.9–#115

COLO+9.6 →+2.7▼ 6.9#62

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

WYO

Longer bar = better

COLO

#104

Offense

Even

#102

#39

Defense

◀ WYO better

#92

0.0 #81

Turnovers

COLO better ▶

+1.0 #24

65 plays #84

Pace

◀ WYO faster

63 plays #110

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Even matchup

	WYO off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	15.7 #128	23.3 #74	COLO
Yards / play	5.30 #105	6.11 #114	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #104	+0.06 #66	COLO
Success rate	43% #77	46% #114	WYO

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	COLO off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	23.7 #95	12.7 #19	WYO
Yards / play	5.34 #102	4.47 #33	WYO
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	−0.01 #37	WYO
Success rate	37% #128	41% #67	WYO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	2.3 #125	4.3 #117	6.7 #126	2.3 #124	6.7 #78	9.0 #110
COLO allowed	3.3 #47	8.7 #96	12.0 #70	5.7 #79	5.7 #67	11.3 #75

COLO scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	4.7 #97	9.0 #70	13.7 #86	3.3 #112	6.7 #78	10.0 #103
WYO allowed	1.0 #12	2.3 #16	3.3 #10	4.7 #67	4.7 #52	9.3 #51

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.