Florida Atlantic @ Florida International: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2025)

Sat, Sep 13, 2025, 8:30 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Florida International

Weather at kickoff76°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

1-1 · Power #108

final

Final

Florida International

1-1 · Power #109

▲ winner

Closing spread

FIU -1.5

✓ FIU W

Total

56.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 25–27 FIU

✓ FIU (55%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -4.5

CloseFIU -1.5

Total54.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFIU -4.5

3 → FAU

CloseFIU -1.5

3 pts toward Florida Atlantic

Total

Open54.5

▲ 2

Close56.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FIU -4.5 · closed FIU -1.5 · moved 3 toward FAUmodel FIU -2.5

model FIU -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 50%, covered 47% (149 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (70 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -4.5

CloseFIU -1.5

Total54.5 → 56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FIU as a 1.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: FIU won 38–28; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 56.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.2 against an average line of 2.2; 53.6 points a game (usually 53). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	BUFF vs BALL 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar total & spread	-3.5	51–48	L	O55.5
Close	EMU vs BUFF 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-1	20–37	L	O53.5
Close	CCU vs GASO 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-2	6–26	L	U59.5
Close	BALL vs EMU 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar rest	-2.5	16–20	L	U57.5
Close	SHSU vs WKU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form	-1.5	14–31	L	U55
Close	UVA vs GT 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-1.5	17–45	L	O56
Close	CLT vs UAB 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-1	29–27	W	U60
Close	LT vs TLSA 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & rest	-2.5	20–23	L	U56.5
Close	APP vs MRSH 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-3	31–9	W	U57.5
Close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar total	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU LW	1-1	50%	0-1	0-1
FIU WW	2-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; FIU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU UO	1-1	50%	1-1
FIU UU	0-2	0%	1-1

Went over in Q3. Of 405 earlier overs in games with totals 52.5–60.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%
FIU	4-6 40%	8-2 80%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

FAU 17–6 FIU FAU leads · 23 games since 2003 · FAU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 14 2024	Florida International 20 @ Florida Atlantic 38	FAU -3.5	FAU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#103

FIU−11.4 →−9.6▲ 1.8#105

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

FAU

Longer bar = better

FIU

#88

Offense

Even

#97

#79

Defense

Even

#71

−3.0 #135

Turnovers

FIU better ▶

−1.0 #109

87 plays #1

Pace

◀ FAU faster

73 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	31.5 #62	21.5 #71	Even
Yards / play	5.24 #104	5.68 #98	Even
PPA / play	0.00 #119	+0.04 #65	FIU
Success rate	44% #65	37% #50	Even

When FIU has the ball

Even matchup

	FIU off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #103	26.5 #96	Even
Yards / play	5.14 #107	4.76 #54	FAU
PPA / play	+0.07 #95	+0.22 #118	FIU
Success rate	42% #84	36% #46	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 107 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	14.5	8.5	23.0	0.0	8.5	8.5
FIU allowed	5.0	3.0	8.0	5.0	8.5	13.5

FIU scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	3.5	10.5	14.0	3.5	3.5	7.0
FAU allowed	3.5	13.0	16.5	6.5	3.5	10.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.