Delaware @ Florida International: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Sat, Sep 20, 2025, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Florida International · Conference game

Weather at kickoff80°F11 mphgusts 28Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Delaware

2-1 · Power #117

▲ winner

Final

Florida International

2-1 · Power #109

final

Closing spread

FIU -5.5

✓ DEL W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

DEL 23–29 FIU

✗ FIU (67%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -4.5

CloseFIU -5.5

Total59.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFIU -4.5

1 → FIU

CloseFIU -5.5

1 pt toward Florida International

Total

Open59.5

▼ 5

Close54.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FIU -4.5 · closed FIU -5.5 · moved 1 toward FIUmodel FIU -9

model FIU -9

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 59% (129 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (169 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenFIU -4.5

CloseFIU -5.5

Total59.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FIU as a 5.5-point home favorite against DEL, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: DEL won 38–16 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 54 points stayed under 54.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1 against an average line of 4.8; 56.2 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	EMU vs CMU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3.5	38–34	W	O52.5
Very close	USM vs ARST 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	20–19	L	U53
Very close	CSU vs USU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-5.5	42–37	L	O57
Very close	HAW vs NMSU 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4	20–17	L	U55
Very close	WMU vs EMU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	23–45	L	O55.5
Close	TXST vs ARST 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-6	16–13	L	U50
Close	EMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	31–50	L	O57.5
Close	BUFF vs KENT 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	27–30	L	O51
Close	OHIO vs BGSU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-5.5	38–14	W	U52.5
Close	GAST vs ODU 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar situation	-3.5	31–17	W	U53.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LLW	1-2	33%	0-1	1-1
FIU WWW	3-0	100%	2-0	2-0

Venue/role: DEL away, as underdog; FIU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL UUO	1-2	33%	2-1
FIU UUO	1-2	33%	2-1

Stayed under: it needed 14 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 52% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DELlast 4	2-2 50%	1-3 25%	2-2 50%
FIU	4-6 40%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEL−22.6 →−15.3▲ 7.3#125

FIU−11.4 →−9.3▲ 2.1#107

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

DEL

Longer bar = better

FIU

#51

Offense

◀ DEL better

#85

#117

Defense

FIU better ▶

#70

−0.3 #95

Turnovers

FIU better ▶

0.0 #68

72 plays #31

Pace

Even

70 plays #43

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEL has the ball

Even matchup

	DEL off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	28.7 #75	23.7 #80	Even
Yards / play	6.21 #53	5.73 #99	DEL
PPA / play	+0.28 #35	0.00 #53	Even
Success rate	48% #41	37% #47	Even

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: FIU offense

	FIU off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	26.7 #82	29.7 #110	FIU
Yards / play	5.52 #84	6.10 #111	FIU
PPA / play	+0.04 #106	+0.30 #127	FIU
Success rate	44% #67	47% #118	FIU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 129 FBS teams

DEL scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.7 #87	11.7 #34	16.3 #64	4.7 #88	5.7 #80	10.3 #90
FIU allowed	5.7 #83	6.7 #61	12.3 #70	3.3 #41	8.0 #91	11.3 #75

FIU scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	4.7 #87	10.3 #45	15.0 #73	9.3 #27	2.3 #121	11.7 #81
DEL allowed	5.7 #83	9.0 #91	14.7 #91	7.0 #97	7.0 #78	14.0 #99

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.