Washington @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Sat, Sep 20, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Washington State

Weather at kickoff79°F5 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Washington

2-0 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

Washington State

2-1 · Power #60

final

Closing spread

WASH -20.5

✓ WASH W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 83 pts

Model before kickoff

WASH 38–18 WSU

✓ WASH (92%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -20.5

CloseWASH -20.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWASH -20.5

no move

CloseWASH -20.5

No change since the open

Total

Open53.5

▼ 1

Close52.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WASH -20.5 · unchangedmodel WASH -16

model WASH -16

Openline modelKickoff

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenWASH -20.5

CloseWASH -20.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WASH as a 20.5-point road favorite at WSU, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 59–24; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 83 points went over 52.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 23.5 against an average line of 21.2; 44.3 points a game (usually 54.9). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	DUKE @ CONN 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & spread	-22	41–7	W	O45
Close	FSU @ WAKE 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar total & spread	-21	41–16	W	O53
Close	ISU @ ARST 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread	-21	24–16	L	U55.5
Close	MICH @ IU 2022 · Week 6 · close	-23.5	31–10	L	U57.5
Close	FSU @ PITT 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & total	-21.5	24–7	L	U50
Close	CLEM @ BC 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-21	31–3	W	U48.75
Close	MIA @ TEM 2023 · Week 4 · close	-23.5	41–7	W	O46.5
Close	BOIS @ HAW 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar spread	-21	28–7	P	U60
Close	SMU @ STAN 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest	-16.5	40–10	W	U52.5
Close	UTAH @ USU 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread	-20.5	38–21	L	O43.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH LW	1-1	50%	—	1-1
WSU LWL	1-2	33%	1-1	0-1

Venue/role: WASH away, as favorite; WSU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH OO	2-0	100%	2-0
WSU UOO	2-1	67%	2-1

Went over in Q3. Of 486 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASH	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
WSU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

WASH 70–32 WSU (4 tied) WASH leads · 106 games since 1917 · WASH has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 14 2024	Washington State 24 @ Washington 19	—	—
Nov 25 2023	Washington State 21 @ Washington 24	WASH -15.5	WSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WASH+8.0 →+11.3▲ 3.3#25

WSU−2.0 →−6.6▼ 4.6#89

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

WASH

Longer bar = better

WSU

Offense

◀ WASH better

#120

#36

Defense

◀ WASH better

#75

+0.5 #54

Turnovers

◀ WASH better

−1.3 #127

76 plays #14

Pace

◀ WASH faster

65 plays #81

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: WASH offense

	WASH off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	54.0 #4	27.3 #100	WASH
Yards / play	7.53 #13	4.50 #38	WASH
PPA / play	+0.43 #9	+0.03 #61	WASH
Success rate	57% #10	43% #99	WASH

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: WASH defense

	WSU off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	19.7 #110	15.5 #38	WASH
Yards / play	4.52 #127	4.31 #31	WASH
PPA / play	−0.08 #130	0.00 #55	WASH
Success rate	38% #111	33% #21	WASH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 131 FBS teams

WASH scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	10.5	17.5	28.0	14.0	12.0	26.0
WSU allowed	7.0 #100	9.3 #102	16.3 #101	5.3 #77	5.7 #63	11.0 #66

WSU scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	3.3 #111	6.3 #98	9.7 #109	4.3 #96	5.7 #87	10.0 #97
WASH allowed	5.0	7.0	12.0	3.5	0.0	3.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.