App State @ South Alabama: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at South Alabama · Conference game

App State

5-2 · Power #94

projected

Fri 3:00 PM ET

South Alabama

4-3 · Power #101

projected

APP 48%

52% USA

Spread

—

Total

—

model 60.5

Model line

USA -1

USA 52% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
APP LWLWW	5-2	71%	3-0	—
USA LLWWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—

Venue/role: APP away; USA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
APP UOUOO	4-3	57%	5-2
USA OOOOU	5-2	71%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
APP	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
USA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

App State

No more games this season.

South Alabama

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

APP 0–1 USA USA leads · 1 game since 2023 · USA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 19 2024	South Alabama 48 @ App State 14	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

APP−10.7 →−6.4▲ 4.3#94

USA−9.6 →−8.6▲ 1.0#101

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

APP

Longer bar = better

USA

#76

Offense

USA better ▶

#58

#63

Defense

◀ APP better

#130

+0.7 #21

Turnovers

Even

+1.0 #11

70 plays #33

Pace

USA faster ▶

72 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When APP has the ball

Advantage: APP offense

	APP off	USA def	Edge
Points / game	30.1 #64	32.4 #125	APP
Yards / play	5.92 #65	6.89 #135	APP
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	+0.24 #123	APP
Success rate	41% #89	51% #136	APP

When USA has the ball

Even matchup

	USA off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	35.1 #36	23.1 #63	USA
Yards / play	5.88 #68	5.19 #55	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #50	+0.06 #55	Even
Success rate	42% #79	42% #80	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

APP scoring against the USA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	3.9 #104	9.7 #53	13.6 #88	7.1 #40	9.0 #29	16.1 #31
USA allowed	5.0 #75	9.3 #107	14.3 #98	9.0 #131	9.1 #126	18.1 #132

USA scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
USA scored	11.6 #8	9.6 #60	21.1 #19	7.6 #35	6.4 #82	14.0 #56
APP allowed	5.0 #75	6.9 #66	11.9 #67	3.1 #32	8.1 #112	11.3 #70

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.