UL Monroe @ App State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at App State · Conference game

UL Monroe

0-6 · Power #137

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

App State

5-2 · Power #94

projected

ULM 5%

95% APP

Spread

—

Total

—

model 55

Model line

APP -23

APP 95% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ULM WLLLL	1-5	17%	1-2	—
APP LWLWW	5-2	71%	2-2	—

Venue/role: ULM away; APP home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ULM UOOOU	4-2	67%	0-6
APP UOUOO	4-3	57%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ULM	0-10 0%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
APP	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UL Monroe

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs MRSH	L23–28WO

App State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	@ USA	L14–48

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ULM 1–7 APP APP leads · 8 games since 2014 · APP has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 30 2023	App State 41 @ UL Monroe 40	APP -13.5	ULM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ULM−17.2 →−23.5▼ 6.3#137

APP−10.7 →−6.4▲ 4.3#94

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

ULM

Longer bar = better

APP

#114

Offense

APP better ▶

#76

#135

Defense

APP better ▶

#63

−0.8 #125

Turnovers

APP better ▶

+0.7 #22

64 plays #90

Pace

APP faster ▶

70 plays #34

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ULM has the ball

Advantage: APP defense

	ULM off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #122	23.1 #63	APP
Yards / play	5.30 #113	5.19 #55	APP
PPA / play	−0.06 #134	+0.06 #55	APP
Success rate	42% #87	42% #80	Even

When APP has the ball

Advantage: APP offense

	APP off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	30.1 #65	41.2 #137	APP
Yards / play	5.92 #65	6.92 #136	APP
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	+0.28 #131	APP
Success rate	41% #89	49% #135	APP

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ULM scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	3.5 #112	7.2 #99	10.7 #111	5.7 #83	3.7 #131	9.3 #121
APP allowed	5.0 #74	6.9 #66	11.9 #67	3.1 #32	8.1 #112	11.3 #70

APP scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	3.9 #104	9.7 #53	13.6 #88	7.1 #40	9.0 #29	16.1 #31
ULM allowed	9.3 #134	14.2 #135	23.5 #137	8.7 #128	9.0 #123	17.7 #129

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.