App State @ Marshall: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Marshall · Conference game

App State

5-2 · Power #94

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Marshall

4-3 · Power #114

projected

APP 60%

40% MRSH

Spread

—

Total

—

model 56.5

Model line

APP -3.5

APP 60% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
APP LWLWW	5-2	71%	3-0	—
MRSH WLLLW	2-5	29%	1-3	—

Venue/role: APP away; MRSH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
APP UOUOO	4-3	57%	5-2
MRSH OOOUU	3-4	43%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
APP	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
MRSH	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

App State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs ULM	W41–40LO
Nov 27	@ USA	L14–48

Marshall

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs GAST	W30–18WU
Nov 28	@ ULM	W28–23LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

APP 7–5 MRSH APP leads · 12 games since 1977 · APP has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Marshall 24 @ App State 26	MRSH -3.5	APP W
Oct 5 2024	App State 37 @ Marshall 52	MRSH -3.5	MRSH W
Nov 4 2023	Marshall 9 @ App State 31	APP -3	APP W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

APP−10.7 →−6.4▲ 4.3#94

MRSH−5.9 →−12.3▼ 6.4#116

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

APP

Longer bar = better

MRSH

#76

Offense

Even

#78

#63

Defense

◀ APP better

#117

+0.7 #22

Turnovers

◀ APP better

−1.1 #134

70 plays #34

Pace

Even

69 plays #39

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When APP has the ball

Advantage: APP offense

	APP off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	30.1 #65	30.7 #117	APP
Yards / play	5.92 #65	6.39 #126	APP
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	+0.25 #127	APP
Success rate	41% #89	44% #98	Even

When MRSH has the ball

Even matchup

	MRSH off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #108	23.1 #63	APP
Yards / play	5.69 #87	5.19 #55	APP
PPA / play	+0.15 #68	+0.06 #55	Even
Success rate	46% #47	42% #80	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

APP scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	3.9 #104	9.7 #53	13.6 #88	7.1 #40	9.0 #29	16.1 #31
MRSH allowed	9.1 #132	8.7 #98	17.9 #123	8.0 #119	4.9 #39	12.9 #94

MRSH scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	5.4 #87	5.7 #114	11.1 #104	3.9 #116	6.7 #73	10.6 #101
APP allowed	5.0 #74	6.9 #66	11.9 #67	3.1 #32	8.1 #112	11.3 #70

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.