Marshall @ Georgia Southern: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Kickoff forecast59°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Marshall

4-3 · Power #114

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia Southern

3-4 · Power #82

projected

MRSH 20%

80% GASO

Spread

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Total

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model 56

Model line

GASO -11.5

GASO 80% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MRSH WLLLW	2-5	29%	1-2	—
GASO LWWWW	6-1	86%	3-0	—

Venue/role: MRSH away; GASO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MRSH OOOUU	3-4	43%	4-3
GASO OOOUU	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MRSH	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%
GASO	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Marshall

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs APP	L24–26LU
Nov 21	vs GAST	W30–18WU
Nov 28	@ ULM	W28–23LO

Georgia Southern

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ GAST	W41–24WO
Nov 21	@ TROY	L20–28LU
Nov 28	vs LT	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

MRSH 1–2 GASO GASO leads · 3 games since 2023 · GASO has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Georgia Southern 24 @ Marshall 19	MRSH -10.5	GASO W
Oct 12 2024	Marshall 23 @ Georgia Southern 24	GASO -1.5	MRSH W
Nov 11 2023	Georgia Southern 33 @ Marshall 38	GASO -1	MRSH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MRSH−5.9 →−12.3▼ 6.4#116

GASO−8.8 →−3.4▲ 5.4#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

MRSH

Longer bar = better

GASO

#77

Offense

Even

#73

#117

Defense

GASO better ▶

#57

−1.1 #134

Turnovers

GASO better ▶

+0.3 #58

69 plays #38

Pace

Even

68 plays #50

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: GASO defense

	MRSH off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #108	23.0 #62	GASO
Yards / play	5.69 #86	5.09 #49	GASO
PPA / play	+0.15 #68	+0.07 #65	Even
Success rate	46% #47	39% #50	Even

When GASO has the ball

Advantage: GASO offense

	GASO off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	24.4 #95	30.7 #117	GASO
Yards / play	5.82 #73	6.39 #126	GASO
PPA / play	+0.15 #70	+0.25 #127	GASO
Success rate	44% #55	44% #98	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

MRSH scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	5.4 #87	5.7 #114	11.1 #104	3.9 #116	6.7 #74	10.6 #101
GASO allowed	4.4 #59	6.6 #61	11.0 #54	5.0 #72	7.0 #89	12.0 #78

GASO scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	6.9 #55	9.1 #70	16.0 #59	3.4 #125	5.0 #114	8.4 #129
MRSH allowed	9.1 #132	8.7 #98	17.9 #123	8.0 #119	4.9 #37	12.9 #94

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.