App State @ Georgia Southern: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 6:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Kickoff forecast70°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

App State

5-2 · Power #94

projected

Sat 6:30 PM ET

Georgia Southern

3-4 · Power #82

projected

APP 34%

66% GASO

Spread

—

Total

—

model 55

Model line

GASO -5.5

GASO 66% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
APP LWLWW	5-2	71%	3-0	—
GASO LWWWW	6-1	86%	3-0	—

Venue/role: APP away; GASO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
APP UOUOO	4-3	57%	5-2
GASO OOOUU	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
APP	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
GASO	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

App State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs GAST	W41–20WO
Nov 14	@ MRSH	W26–24WU
Nov 21	vs ULM	W41–40LO

Georgia Southern

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs MRSH	W24–19WU
Nov 14	@ GAST	W41–24WO
Nov 21	@ TROY	L20–28LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

APP 14–10 GASO APP leads · 24 games since 2003 · GASO has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 29 2025	Georgia Southern 29 @ App State 10	GASO -10	GASO W
Nov 6 2025	Georgia Southern 25 @ App State 23	APP -4.5	GASO W
Nov 30 2024	App State 20 @ Georgia Southern 29	GASO -2.5	GASO W
Nov 25 2023	Georgia Southern 27 @ App State 55	APP -10	APP W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

APP−10.7 →−6.4▲ 4.3#94

GASO−8.8 →−3.4▲ 5.4#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

APP

Longer bar = better

GASO

#76

Offense

Even

#73

#63

Defense

Even

#57

+0.7 #21

Turnovers

◀ APP better

+0.3 #58

70 plays #33

Pace

◀ APP faster

68 plays #50

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When APP has the ball

Even matchup

	APP off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	30.1 #64	23.0 #62	Even
Yards / play	5.92 #65	5.09 #49	Even
PPA / play	+0.11 #84	+0.07 #65	Even
Success rate	41% #89	39% #50	GASO

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	24.4 #95	23.1 #63	APP
Yards / play	5.82 #73	5.19 #55	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #70	+0.06 #55	Even
Success rate	44% #55	42% #80	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

APP scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	3.9 #104	9.7 #53	13.6 #88	7.1 #40	9.0 #29	16.1 #31
GASO allowed	4.4 #59	6.6 #61	11.0 #54	5.0 #72	7.0 #89	12.0 #78

GASO scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	6.9 #55	9.1 #70	16.0 #59	3.4 #125	5.0 #114	8.4 #129
APP allowed	5.0 #75	6.9 #66	11.9 #67	3.1 #32	8.1 #112	11.3 #70

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.