Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Georgia State · Conference game

Coastal Carolina

2-5 · Power #116

projected

Sat 2:00 PM ET

Georgia State

4-2 · Power #92

projected

CCU 23%

77% GAST

Spread

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Total

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model 57

Model line

GAST -10.5

GAST 77% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU LLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—
GAST WWWWL	5-1	83%	3-0	—

Venue/role: CCU away; GAST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU UOOUO	4-3	57%	2-5
GAST UOUOO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
GAST	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Coastal Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs ODU	L7–47LO
Nov 14	vs ARST	W27–17WU
Nov 21	@ UL	L24–34LO

Georgia State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ APP	L20–41LO
Nov 14	vs GASO	L24–41LO
Nov 21	@ MRSH	L18–30LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

CCU 2–1 GAST CCU leads · 3 games since 2023 · CCU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2025	Georgia State 27 @ Coastal Carolina 40	CCU -7.5	CCU W
Nov 30 2024	Coastal Carolina 48 @ Georgia State 27	GAST -0.5	CCU W
Sep 21 2023	Georgia State 30 @ Coastal Carolina 17	CCU -4.5	GAST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#115

GAST−14.5 →−4.8▲ 9.7#89

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

CCU

Longer bar = better

GAST

#82

Offense

GAST better ▶

#27

#111

Defense

GAST better ▶

#60

+0.6 #32

Turnovers

◀ CCU better

−0.7 #115

65 plays #84

Pace

GAST faster ▶

69 plays #39

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: GAST defense

	CCU off	GAST def	Edge
Points / game	26.1 #88	24.0 #73	Even
Yards / play	5.91 #66	5.47 #73	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #75	+0.05 #49	GAST
Success rate	40% #97	38% #43	GAST

When GAST has the ball

Advantage: GAST offense

	GAST off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	36.5 #25	25.9 #92	GAST
Yards / play	6.53 #30	6.27 #119	GAST
PPA / play	+0.24 #27	+0.16 #106	GAST
Success rate	48% #26	47% #126	GAST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the GAST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	3.9 #104	11.3 #32	15.1 #69	5.4 #87	5.6 #107	11.0 #95
GAST allowed	7.3 #118	6.3 #56	13.7 #95	6.0 #88	4.3 #24	10.3 #57

GAST scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GAST scored	9.2 #22	14.0 #8	23.2 #12	11.3 #6	2.0 #138	13.3 #67
CCU allowed	6.9 #112	5.6 #36	12.4 #77	4.4 #59	9.0 #123	13.4 #101

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.