App State @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Fri, Oct 16, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff75°F6 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

App State

3-2 · Power #94

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

2-4 · Power #116

final

Closing spread

APP -1.5

✓ APP W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

APP 27–25 CCU

✓ APP (55%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenAPP -1.5

CloseAPP -1.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:31

App State at Coastal Carolina: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 1:50 PM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenAPP -1.5

no move

CloseAPP -1.5

No change since the open

Total

Open51.5

▼ 3

Close48.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened APP -1.5 · unchangedmodel APP -3

model APP -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 54%, covered 49% (192 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenAPP -1.5

CloseAPP -1.5

Total51.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like APP as a 1.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: APP won 35–32; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 48.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 838%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 2.4; 50.6 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LIB @ FIU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.5	27–34	L	O51.5
Very close	BGSU @ WMU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	34–10	W	U51.5
Very close	FRES @ NEV 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3	24–21	P	U50
Very close	USM @ USA 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	35–42	L	O53.5
Very close	ORST @ NEV 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3	37–42	L	O47
Very close	JXST @ UTEP 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-1.5	30–27	W	O46.5
Very close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1	28–7	W	U46.5
Very close	LT @ FIU 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & spread	-2	10–17	L	U49
Very close	FRES @ HAW 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	23–21	L	U47.5
Very close	CONN @ BUFF 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	20–17	P	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
APP WWLWL	3-2	60%	2-0	1-2
CCU WLLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-3

Venue/role: APP away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
APP OUUOU	2-3	40%	3-2
CCU UUOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

Went over in Q3. Of 712 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
APP	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
CCU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

APP 8–5 CCU APP leads · 13 games since 2005 · APP has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Coastal Carolina 45 @ App State 37	APP -10.5	CCU W
Nov 7 2024	App State 24 @ Coastal Carolina 38	APP -1.5	CCU W
Oct 10 2023	Coastal Carolina 27 @ App State 24	APP -4.5	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

APP−10.7 →−7.5▲ 3.2#97

CCU−12.9 →−12.3▲ 0.6#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

APP

Longer bar = better

CCU

#91

Offense

Even

#93

#46

Defense

◀ APP better

#103

+0.8 #26

Turnovers

Even

+0.7 #34

67 plays #57

Pace

◀ APP faster

65 plays #81

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When APP has the ball

Even matchup

	APP off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	28.4 #73	24.3 #77	Even
Yards / play	5.99 #68	6.21 #121	APP
PPA / play	+0.06 #107	+0.12 #93	Even
Success rate	39% #114	46% #120	Even

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: APP defense

	CCU off	APP def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #93	19.8 #41	APP
Yards / play	5.71 #81	4.76 #28	APP
PPA / play	+0.12 #82	+0.03 #46	APP
Success rate	39% #116	40% #68	APP

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

APP scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
APP scored	2.6 #123	11.6 #31	14.2 #78	6.6 #64	7.6 #59	14.2 #61
CCU allowed	5.7 #93	6.5 #58	12.2 #74	2.8 #26	9.3 #125	12.2 #82

CCU scoring against the APP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	3.3 #113	10.3 #47	13.7 #85	6.3 #67	5.2 #109	11.5 #92
APP allowed	4.2 #59	4.8 #29	9.0 #31	3.0 #31	7.8 #106	10.8 #68

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.