Florida International @ Jacksonville State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Jacksonville State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Florida International

3-2 · Power #105

final

Final

Jacksonville State

4-2 · Power #99

▲ winner

Closing spread

JXST -3

Push

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

FIU 21–24 JXST

✓ JXST (58%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -3

CloseJXST -3

Total45.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:29

Florida International at Jacksonville State: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 1:31 PM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJXST -3

no move

CloseJXST -3

No change since the open

Total

Open45.5

▼ 1

Close44.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JXST -3 · unchangedmodel JXST -3 matches the line

model JXST -3 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (307 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -3

CloseJXST -3

Total45.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JXST as a 3-point home favorite against FIU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: JXST won 27–24; the favorite pushed, as in 0 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 44.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.4 against an average line of 2.5; 44.8 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TOL vs OHIO 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & season form	-1.5	7–24	L	U45.5
Very close	BGSU vs NIU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	7–17	L	U46.5
Very close	TOL vs BGSU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2	26–41	L	O48
Very close	M-OH vs OHIO 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	30–20	W	O43.5
Very close	WSU vs FRES 2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & situation	-2.5	6–26	L	U44.5
Very close	LT vs UL 2026 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	32–31	L	O48.5
Very close	CONN vs FAU 2024 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & rest	-1	48–14	W	O45.5
Very close	NIU vs TOL 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	6–13	L	U42.5
Very close	CMU vs BUFF 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	38–19	W	O44.5
Very close	M-OH vs WMU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	26–17	W	O40.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FIU WWLLW	3-2	60%	1-1	1-1
JXST WLWWL	3-3	50%	3-0	3-1

Venue/role: FIU away, as underdog; JXST home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FIU UOUUU	1-4	20%	3-2
JXST OOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2

Went over in Q3. Of 477 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–48.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FIU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
JXST	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

FIU 1–4 JXST JXST leads · 5 games since 2020 · JXST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Jacksonville State 21 @ Florida International 27	FIU -2.5	FIU W
Nov 16 2024	Florida International 31 @ Jacksonville State 34	JXST -12.5	FIU W
Oct 25 2023	Jacksonville State 41 @ Florida International 16	JXST -9	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FIU−10.0 →−7.9▲ 2.1#99

JXST−8.9 →−8.5▲ 0.4#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

FIU

Longer bar = better

JXST

#118

Offense

JXST better ▶

#58

Defense

◀ FIU better

#68

−0.4 #96

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #102

71 plays #23

Pace

◀ FIU faster

63 plays #106

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	FIU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	18.8 #121	22.5 #62	JXST
Yards / play	5.33 #112	5.24 #61	JXST
PPA / play	−0.01 #123	+0.07 #67	JXST
Success rate	39% #117	42% #83	JXST

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: FIU defense

	JXST off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	27.3 #82	12.2 #6	FIU
Yards / play	6.24 #51	4.02 #2	FIU
PPA / play	+0.18 #58	−0.07 #11	FIU
Success rate	47% #40	34% #12	FIU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

FIU scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	5.6 #81	4.8 #123	10.4 #113	4.2 #107	4.2 #120	8.4 #127
JXST allowed	2.2 #12	12.0 #125	14.2 #96	4.3 #62	3.2 #11	7.5 #26

JXST scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	5.2 #91	10.3 #48	15.5 #66	6.3 #66	5.0 #112	11.3 #94
FIU allowed	3.2 #30	2.4 #8	5.6 #7	2.8 #26	3.8 #21	6.6 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.