Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Wed, Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Kennesaw State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F2 mphDryWeather watch ›

Jacksonville State

3-2 · Power #99

▲ winner

Final

Kennesaw State

1-3 · Power #117

final

Closing spread

JXST -3

✓ KENN W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 53 pts

Model before kickoff

JXST 26–24 KENN

✓ JXST (56%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -2.5

CloseJXST -3

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJXST -2.5

0.5 → JXST

CloseJXST -3

0.5 pts toward Jacksonville State

Total

Open48.5

no move

Close48.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JXST -2.5 · closed JXST -3 · moved 0.5 toward JXSTmodel KENN -1

model KENN -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (222 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 53% (21 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJXST -2.5

CloseJXST -3

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JXST as a 3-point road favorite at KENN, the favorite won 9, covered 9, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: JXST won 27–26; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 1 of the 10 similar games. 53 points went over 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 57%

Favorite covered

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Wins above normal, covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 11.8 against an average line of 2.7; 55.2 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KENN @ FIU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & situation	-3	45–26	W	O48.5
Very close	NMSU @ UTEP 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-3	28–7	W	U49
Very close	LT @ UTEP 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	30–11	W	U48
Very close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Very close	CSU @ NEV 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-2	38–21	W	O45.5
Very close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Very close	JXST @ UTEP 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar season form & rest	-1.5	30–27	W	O46.5
Very close	NIU @ WMU 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-2	42–28	W	O52
Very close	KENN @ LIB 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-2.5	48–42	W	O55.5
Very close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & season form	-1	28–7	W	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST LWLWW	3-2	60%	0-2	3-0
KENN WLWW	3-1	75%	1-1	2-0

Venue/role: JXST away, as favorite; KENN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST UOOOU	3-2	60%	3-2
KENN UUUU	0-4	0%	1-3

Went over in Q4. Of 698 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXST	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
KENN	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

JXST 4–4 KENN Series tied · 8 games since 2017 · JXST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 5 2025	Kennesaw State 19 @ Jacksonville State 15	KENN -3	KENN W
Nov 15 2025	Kennesaw State 26 @ Jacksonville State 35	KENN -3.5	JXST W
Oct 4 2024	Jacksonville State 63 @ Kennesaw State 24	JXST -17.5	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JXST−8.9 →−9.2▼ 0.3#105

KENN−10.4 →−11.1▼ 0.7#111

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

JXST

Longer bar = better

KENN

#53

Offense

◀ JXST better

#87

#67

Defense

◀ JXST better

#102

−0.6 #102

Turnovers

KENN better ▶

+0.3 #60

60 plays #118

Pace

KENN faster ▶

66 plays #76

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	27.4 #80	22.5 #61	Even
Yards / play	6.50 #44	5.81 #103	JXST
PPA / play	+0.20 #54	+0.21 #120	JXST
Success rate	48% #32	46% #123	JXST

When KENN has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	KENN off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	21.8 #110	21.8 #57	JXST
Yards / play	5.60 #94	5.03 #53	JXST
PPA / play	+0.11 #86	+0.06 #65	JXST
Success rate	45% #59	43% #91	KENN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

JXST scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.2 #70	9.6 #64	15.8 #70	6.2 #70	4.8 #109	11.0 #98
KENN allowed	5.3 #84	7.0 #67	12.3 #81	7.0 #99	3.3 #17	10.3 #59

KENN scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	6.3 #69	7.0 #99	13.3 #91	5.5 #87	3.0 #131	8.5 #122
JXST allowed	2.0 #16	11.8 #127	13.8 #97	3.8 #53	3.2 #13	7.0 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.