Wyoming @ San José State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Fri, Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at San José State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff69°F8 mphDryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

2-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Final

San José State

3-2 · Power #111

final

Closing spread

SJSU -4.5

✓ WYO W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 29 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 19–24 SJSU

✗ SJSU (65%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSJSU -6

CloseSJSU -4.5

Total44.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSJSU -6

1.5 → WYO

CloseSJSU -4.5

1.5 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open44.5

▼ 2

Close42.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SJSU -6 · closed SJSU -4.5 · moved 1.5 toward WYOmodel SJSU -9.5

model SJSU -9.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 52% (242 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (375 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSJSU -6

CloseSJSU -4.5

Total44.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SJSU as a 4.5-point home favorite against WYO, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 16–13 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 29 points stayed under 42.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.4 against an average line of 5.5; 42 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 3 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NMSU vs SHSU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-4	27–13	W	U42.5
Very close	CSU vs SDSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar season form & spread	-3.5	22–19	L	U46.5
Very close	TROY vs UL 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	35–23	W	O47.5
Very close	OHIO vs BUFF 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-4	47–16	W	O46.5
Very close	BGSU vs AKR 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	41–14	W	O37
Very close	WYO vs NEV 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	7–13	L	U39.5
Very close	BUFF vs EMU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	11–24	L	U38
Very close	LT vs UTEP 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	14–10	L	U49
Very close	WYO vs CSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	24–15	W	U43.5
Very close	RICE vs FAU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	24–21	L	U46.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO LLLWL	1-4	20%	0-3	1-2
SJSU WWLLW	3-2	60%	0-2	0-1

Venue/role: WYO away, as underdog; SJSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO OUUUU	1-4	20%	2-3
SJSU OUUUU	1-4	20%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 54% of games with totals 38.5–46.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	1-9 10%
SJSU	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

WYO 9–7 SJSU WYO leads · 16 games since 1959 · WYO has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	San José State 28 @ Wyoming 35	SJSU -1.5	WYO W
Oct 19 2024	Wyoming 14 @ San José State 24	SJSU -11.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−11.3 →−15.8▼ 4.5#127

SJSU−10.3 →−9.8▲ 0.5#108

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

WYO

Longer bar = better

SJSU

#104

Offense

Even

#105

#90

Defense

SJSU better ▶

#76

−1.2 #133

Turnovers

SJSU better ▶

−0.2 #79

56 plays #135

Pace

SJSU faster ▶

69 plays #46

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: SJSU defense

	WYO off	SJSU def	Edge
Points / game	14.2 #135	25.0 #77	SJSU
Yards / play	5.20 #114	5.55 #83	SJSU
PPA / play	+0.09 #98	+0.05 #57	SJSU
Success rate	44% #67	42% #85	Even

When SJSU has the ball

Even matchup

	SJSU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	22.6 #106	22.0 #55	WYO
Yards / play	5.66 #89	5.56 #85	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #103	+0.15 #96	Even
Success rate	38% #123	46% #122	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the SJSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	1.2 #135	4.0 #128	5.2 #138	2.0 #132	7.0 #72	9.0 #119
SJSU allowed	1.4 #6	8.0 #81	9.4 #41	9.6 #131	6.0 #70	15.6 #120

SJSU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SJSU scored	0.6 #137	7.4 #96	8.0 #129	4.0 #108	10.6 #16	14.6 #59
WYO allowed	4.0 #55	8.2 #84	12.2 #77	4.0 #53	5.8 #65	9.8 #55

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.