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NCAAF · 2026

NCAAF Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
58 finalFavorites 24-34 ATS19 upsetsO/U 26-32Model Favorite 39-19Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5858 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-3441% covered
Upsets19outright
Over / Under26-3245% over
Model Favorite39-1967% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up17 all 17 final
Over8 47%Under9 53%
Moved down31 all 31 final
Over14 45%Under17 55%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
27–2354%
178–153–654%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
14–1254%
111–93–354%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
8–753%
61–49–155%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
2–340%
18–1358%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
3–175%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Tuesday, Oct 6

1
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
1-3 · #127
34
Troy
2-2 · #98
55
Spread
TROY -9.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▲ Over 89 · Q3
Projected
20–30
✓ TROY won
Trend: USM ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Oct 7

2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
3-2 · #99
27
Kennesaw State
1-3 · #117
26
Spread
JXST -3
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
26–24
✓ JXST won
Model: KENN by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
2-3 · #119
3
Florida International
2-2 · #105
22
Spread
FIU -7
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 25
Projected
19–27
✓ FIU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✓ Model: FIU by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Oct 8

4
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
1-3 · #124
3
Liberty
4-1 · #67
35
Spread
LIB -13.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
19–33
✓ LIB won
Model: LIB by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Missouri State
1-3 · #130
13
Western Kentucky
1-4 · #115
34
Spread
MOST -1.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
29–28
✗ MOST lost
Model: WKU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Florida
4-1 · #76
24
UTSA
4-1 · #71
31
Spread
UTSA -5.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼6
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
24–29
✓ UTSA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: USF by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
South Alabama
3-2 · #101
56
Arkansas State
2-3 · #103
49
Spread
ARST -3
✓ USA W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲4
▲ Over 105 · Q2
Projected
28–31
✗ ARST lost
Trend: ARST ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: USA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Oct 9

5
Final · Conf
Florida State
3-2 · #40
20
Louisville
2-3 · #22
44
Spread
LOU -4
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
28–32
✓ LOU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: LOU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Iowa
4-1 · #27
41
Washington
3-2 · #42
24
Spread
WASH -3
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
20–23
✗ WASH lost
Trend: IOWA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: IOWA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington State
1-4 · #100
16
Utah State
1-4 · #95
17
Spread
USU -4
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
21–25
✓ USU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: USU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wyoming
2-3 · #122
16
San José State
3-2 · #111
13
Spread
SJSU -4.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▼ Under 29
Projected
19–24
✗ SJSU lost
Trend: Under ✓Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: SJSU by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Iowa State
3-2 · #50
10
BYU
4-0 · #14
24
Spread
BYU -11.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
18–30
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: BYU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Saturday, Oct 10

46
Final · Conf
Indiana
5-0 · #7
20
Nebraska
5-0 · #13
17
Spread
IU -9.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
30–21
✓ IU won
Trend: NEB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NEB by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
3-2 · #24
6
Missouri
4-1 · #19
27
Spread
MIZ -4.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–27
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓ Model: TA&M by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UCF
3-2 · #55
28
Oklahoma State
3-1 · #44
42
Spread
OKST -10.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
20–30
✓ OKST won
Trend: UCF ATS ✗ Model: UCF by 6.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
North Carolina
2-2 · #47
21
Pittsburgh
5-0 · #39
17
Spread
PITT -3.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
22–27
✗ PITT lost
Trend: PITT ATS ✗ Model: PITT by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arizona
4-1 · #31
52
West Virginia
3-2 · #73
31
Spread
ARIZ -3.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲3
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
31–27
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: WVU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: ARIZ by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
4-1 · #20
38
NC State
3-2 · #61
14
Spread
WAKE -4
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼4
▼ Under 52
Projected
29–26
✓ WAKE won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓ Model: NCSU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Tulane
2-2 · #86
17
Army
2-2 · #78
20
Spread
ARMY -5.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲4
▼ Under 37
Projected
21–26
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TULN by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Sacramento State
1-4 · #138
10
Bowling Green
1-4 · #129
38
Spread
BGSU -9.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
17–27
✓ BGSU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: BGSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
1-4 · #132
14
Northwestern
3-1 · #30
45
Spread
NU -34.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
8–43
✓ NU won
Trend: NU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: NU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Carolina
2-3 · #28
38
Florida
4-1 · #17
19
Spread
FLA -10.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲2
▼ Under 57
Projected
25–35
✗ FLA lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: SC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rice
1-4 · #121
12
East Carolina
2-2 · #92
28
Spread
ECU -10
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▼ Under 40
Projected
18–28
✓ ECU won
Trend: RICE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ECU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
1-4 · #112
10
App State
3-1 · #94
3
Spread
APP -8.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼6
▼ Under 13
Projected
19–28
✗ APP lost
Trend: APP ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: APP by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
2-3 · #106
20
Massachusetts
4-1 · #123
19
Spread
M-OH -6
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼5
▼ Under 39
Projected
28–22
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MASS by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Neutral
Texas
4-0 · #8
24
Oklahoma
2-2 · #23
27
Spread
TEX -7.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼8
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
23–15
✗ TEX lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEX by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Stanford
2-3 · #97
7
Notre Dame
5-0 · #1
58
Spread
ND -40.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
6–47
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ND by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
3-1 · #12
52
Vanderbilt
3-2 · #60
17
Spread
MISS -9.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
33–25
✓ MISS won
Trend: VAN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: VAN by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
4-0 · #16
17
Oregon
3-1 · #9
15
Spread
ORE -10
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▼ Under 32
Projected
24–35
✗ ORE lost
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Houston
4-1 · #21
35
Kansas State
3-1 · #41
16
Spread
KSU -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
25–27
✗ KSU lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: HOU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Duke
4-0 · #43
25
Georgia Tech
1-3 · #68
28
Spread
DUKE -4.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼5
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✗ DUKE lost
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
4-1 · #45
20
California
2-3 · #85
25
Spread
VT -11.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 45
Projected
32–21
✗ VT lost
Trend: VT ATS ✗ Model: CAL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Illinois
2-3 · #53
38
Michigan State
2-3 · #69
37
Spread
ILL -2.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
25–23
✓ ILL won
Trend: MSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MSU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Charlotte
0-5 · #135
10
North Texas
3-2 · #54
50
Spread
UNT -27.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼4
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
15–43
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNT by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Tulsa
3-2 · #87
26
Navy
1-3 · #89
34
Spread
NAVY -3
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
21–23
✓ NAVY won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: TLSA by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
3-3 · #128
25
Akron
1-4 · #133
23
Spread
EMU -4.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 48
Projected
29–25
✓ EMU won
Trend: EMU ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
2-3 · #125
23
Toledo
4-1 · #75
8
Spread
TOL -18.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 31
Projected
18–38
✗ TOL lost
Trend: TOL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: TOL by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-2 · #120
14
Ohio
3-2 · #96
31
Spread
OHIO -2.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 45
Projected
23–26
✓ OHIO won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: OHIO by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kent State
2-3 · #131
7
Western Michigan
3-2 · #88
38
Spread
WMU -13.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
14–28
✓ WMU won
Trend: KENT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: WMU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UConn
2-3 · #93
34
Temple
2-3 · #104
20
Spread
TEM -3.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▼ Under 54
Projected
26–29
✗ TEM lost
Trend: TEM ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
2-3 · #72
16
Ohio State
4-1 · #2
45
Spread
OSU -31.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
12–43
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MD by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tennessee
4-1 · #11
24
Arkansas
2-3 · #57
17
Spread
TENN -13.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▼ Under 41
Projected
35–21
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗ Model: ARK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San Diego State
2-3 · #108
14
Oregon State
3-2 · #48
66
Spread
ORST -14.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
18–32
✓ ORST won
Trend: ORST ATS ✓ Model: SDSU by 5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
LSU
4-1 · #6
34
Kentucky
4-1 · #26
35
Spread
LSU -9.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
29–20
✗ LSU lost
Trend: UK ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: LSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UAB
3-2 · #107
13
Memphis
4-1 · #62
38
Spread
MEM -15.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼4
▼ Under 51
Projected
20–36
✓ MEM won
Trend: MEM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MEM by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nevada
1-3 · #109
30
UTEP
1-4 · #136
13
Spread
NEV -10
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▼ Under 43
Projected
30–21
✓ NEV won
Trend: NEV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: UTEP by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
North Dakota State
5-0 · #74
7
UNLV
3-2 · #84
13
Spread
NDSU -3
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▼ Under 20
Projected
25–23
✗ NDSU lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNLV by 7 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
1-4 · #116
27
Marshall
3-2 · #114
21
Spread
MRSH -4.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲2
▼ Under 48
Projected
26–30
✗ MRSH lost
Trend: MRSH ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: CCU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
5-0 · #4
20
Alabama
5-0 · #5
17
Spread
ALA -2.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–30
✗ ALA lost
Trend: ALA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: ALA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
USC
5-1 · #18
31
Penn State
3-2 · #32
23
Spread
USC -1.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▼ Under 54
Projected
29–28
✓ USC won
Trend: PSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PSU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Syracuse
2-2 · #70
25
Virginia
3-2 · #49
28
Spread
UVA -14
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
18–31
✓ UVA won
Trend: UVA ATS ✗ Model: SYR by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Air Force
3-1 · #90
28
Northern Illinois
0-4 · #134
7
Spread
AFA -7
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 35
Projected
28–21
✓ AFA won
Trend: AFA ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Louisiana
4-1 · #81
31
Louisiana Tech
2-2 · #83
32
Spread
LT -3
✓ UL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✓ LT won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kansas
2-2 · #46
24
Utah
4-0 · #10
41
Spread
UTAH -15.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
19–35
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTAH by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Minnesota
4-1 · #65
13
Purdue
2-3 · #59
41
Spread
MINN -2.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
27–25
✗ MINN lost
Model: PUR by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
James Madison
5-0 · #51
27
Georgia Southern
2-3 · #82
24
Spread
JMU -7
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▼ Under 51
Projected
31–23
✓ JMU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: JMU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boise State
4-1 · #37
38
Fresno State
4-1 · #80
31
Spread
BOIS -8.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
27–19
✓ BOIS won
Trend: FRES ATS ✓ Model: FRES by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
1-4 · #118
12
Arizona State
2-2 · #66
30
Spread
ASU -20.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
15–36
✓ ASU won
Trend: ASU ATS ✗ Model: ASU by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total