Coastal Carolina @ Marshall: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Marshall · Conference game

Weather at kickoff60°F8 mphgusts 24DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

1-4 · Power #116

▲ winner

Final

Marshall

3-2 · Power #114

final

Closing spread

MRSH -4.5

✓ CCU W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 26–30 MRSH

✗ MRSH (62%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMRSH -2.5

CloseMRSH -4.5

Total55.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMRSH -2.5

2 → MRSH

CloseMRSH -4.5

2 pts toward Marshall

Total

Open55.5

▲ 2

Close57.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MRSH -2.5 · closed MRSH -4.5 · moved 2 toward MRSHmodel MRSH -3.5

model MRSH -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 51% (248 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 49% (146 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMRSH -2.5

CloseMRSH -4.5

Total55.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MRSH as a 4.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 27–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 57.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.4 against an average line of 3.9; 56.8 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GASO vs CCU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-3	45–40	W	O59.5
Very close	USM vs ULM 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	24–7	W	U56.5
Very close	USM vs ODU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	13–17	L	U56.5
Very close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3	31–23	W	P54
Very close	USF vs CLT 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7	48–14	W	O56.75
Very close	DEL vs UTEP 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	61–31	W	O55.5
Very close	GAST vs ARST 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	20–27	L	U59.5
Very close	USF vs FAU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	14–56	L	O61
Very close	WMU vs CMU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & situation	-3.5	38–28	W	O57.5
Very close	ARST vs KENN 2026 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	17–14	L	U53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-3
MRSH LLWLL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-2

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; MRSH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU OUUOO	3-2	60%	1-4
MRSH UUOOO	3-2	60%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 51% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
MRSH	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

CCU 2–1 MRSH CCU leads · 3 games since 2023 · CCU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 30 2025	Marshall 27 @ Coastal Carolina 44	MRSH -7.5	CCU W
Nov 16 2024	Coastal Carolina 19 @ Marshall 31	MRSH -7.5	MRSH W
Oct 28 2023	Marshall 6 @ Coastal Carolina 34	MRSH -3.5	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−12.9 →−12.6▲ 0.3#115

MRSH−5.9 →−12.0▼ 6.1#114

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

CCU

Longer bar = better

MRSH

#87

Offense

Even

#79

#103

Defense

◀ CCU better

#133

−0.2 #87

Turnovers

◀ CCU better

−0.8 #118

66 plays #74

Pace

MRSH faster ▶

68 plays #50

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: CCU offense

	CCU off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	24.8 #96	35.0 #130	CCU
Yards / play	5.87 #77	7.14 #135	CCU
PPA / play	+0.14 #76	+0.38 #138	CCU
Success rate	41% #98	49% #129	CCU

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: MRSH offense

	MRSH off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	22.2 #108	25.0 #82	CCU
Yards / play	5.65 #90	6.14 #115	MRSH
PPA / play	+0.19 #56	+0.14 #94	MRSH
Success rate	44% #62	46% #121	MRSH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	3.4 #109	10.4 #46	13.8 #84	4.8 #95	6.2 #94	11.0 #100
MRSH allowed	11.6 #134	9.6 #109	21.2 #134	8.4 #125	5.4 #54	13.8 #103

MRSH scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	7.6 #50	6.8 #101	14.4 #78	2.6 #128	5.2 #109	7.8 #129
CCU allowed	6.8 #105	7.8 #78	14.6 #99	2.0 #13	8.4 #115	10.4 #63

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.