Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2026)

Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff74°F3 mphgusts 9Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Georgia Southern

1-3 · Power #82

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

1-3 · Power #116

final

Closing spread

GASO -2.5

✓ GASO W

Total

53.5

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

GASO 29–26 CCU

✓ GASO (57%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCCU -1.5

CloseGASO -2.5

Total52.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCCU -1.5

4 → GASO

CloseGASO -2.5

4 pts toward Georgia Southern

Total

Open52.5

▲ 1

Close53.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CCU -1.5 · closed GASO -2.5 · moved 4 toward GASOmodel GASO -2.5 matches the line

model GASO -2.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 47% (272 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (209 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCCU -1.5

CloseGASO -2.5

Total52.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 2.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 9 went over the total.

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This game: GASO won 31–24; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 55 points went over 53.5, as in 9 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 0.6 against an average line of 2.5; 72 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 9 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MRSH @ UL 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	51–54	L	O48
Very close	WMU @ BUFF 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-1.5	48–41	W	O49.5
Very close	KENN @ LIB 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & season form	-2.5	48–42	W	O55.5
Close	ARST @ APP 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & season form	-1.5	30–29	L	O54.5
Close	GASO @ ODU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & spread	-1	19–47	L	O51.5
Close	USF @ RICE 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & season form	-5.5	28–35	L	O54
Close	KENN @ FIU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & season form	-3	45–26	W	O48.5
Close	VT @ BC 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & rest	-2.5	48–22	W	O48.5
Close	USU @ HAW 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & spread	-1.5	26–44	L	O57.5
Close	CONN @ BUFF 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar total & rest	-3	20–17	P	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GASO WWLW	3-1	75%	1-1	1-0
CCU WWLL	2-2	50%	1-1	1-2

Venue/role: GASO away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO UUOO	2-2	50%	1-3
CCU OUUO	2-2	50%	1-3

Went over in Q4. Of 721 earlier overs in games with totals 49.5–57.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
CCU	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

GASO 9–4 CCU GASO leads · 13 games since 2006 · GASO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	Coastal Carolina 40 @ Georgia Southern 45	GASO -3.5	GASO W
Nov 23 2024	Georgia Southern 26 @ Coastal Carolina 6	CCU -1.5	GASO W
Sep 30 2023	Coastal Carolina 28 @ Georgia Southern 38	GASO -6	GASO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GASO−8.8 →−7.5▲ 1.3#102

CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#117

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

GASO

Longer bar = better

CCU

#93

Offense

Even

#84

#72

Defense

◀ GASO better

#98

+0.3 #62

Turnovers

Even

+0.3 #64

70 plays #41

Pace

◀ GASO faster

65 plays #85

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	23.3 #104	23.5 #76	CCU
Yards / play	5.37 #107	5.91 #106	Even
PPA / play	+0.11 #87	+0.12 #88	Even
Success rate	43% #75	46% #122	GASO

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #96	23.8 #78	Even
Yards / play	6.01 #72	4.91 #44	GASO
PPA / play	+0.16 #71	+0.14 #94	CCU
Success rate	41% #98	40% #72	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

GASO scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	6.0 #73	11.3 #45	17.3 #62	4.3 #103	1.8 #135	6.0 #134
CCU allowed	6.0 #101	8.0 #80	14.0 #99	2.5 #26	7.0 #91	9.5 #56

CCU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	4.3 #98	10.5 #54	14.8 #83	4.3 #103	6.0 #90	10.3 #104
GASO allowed	5.3 #84	8.3 #86	13.5 #93	3.5 #49	6.8 #85	10.3 #60

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.