Army @ Louisiana Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2026)

Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Louisiana Tech

Weather at kickoff80°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Army

2-1 · Power #78

final

Final

Louisiana Tech

1-2 · Power #83

▲ winner

Closing spread

LT -1.5

✓ LT W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 60 pts

Model before kickoff

ARMY 23–24 LT

✓ LT (53%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -3.5

CloseLT -1.5

Total44.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -3.5

5 → LT

CloseLT -1.5

5 pts toward Louisiana Tech

Total

Open44.5

▲ 2

Close46.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -3.5 · closed LT -1.5 · moved 5 toward LTmodel ARMY -0.5

model ARMY -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 52%, covered 49% (219 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 49% (140 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -3.5

CloseLT -1.5

Total44.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 1.5-point home favorite against ARMY, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: LT won 31–29; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 60 points went over 46.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 0.2 against an average line of 2.4; 50.4 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	WMU vs OHIO 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar team ratings	-1.5	17–13	W	U47
Close	VT vs WAKE 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation	-1.5	30–13	W	U48.5
Close	UCF vs HOU 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread	-1.5	27–30	L	O47.5
Close	WYO vs APP 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar total & situation	-3	22–19	P	U45
Loose	LT vs WKU 2025 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & situation	-5	27–28	L	O49.5
Loose	CSU vs SJSU 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.5	31–24	W	U55.5
Loose	ODU vs MRSH 2024 · Week 13 · loose · similar team ratings	-3	35–42	L	O51.5
Loose	WVU vs PITT 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.5	17–6	W	U47.75
Loose	CSU vs HAW 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.5	19–31	L	U53.5
Loose	UTEP vs UNLV 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-1	28–45	L	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY WLP	1-1-1	50%	0-0-1	—
LT WWW	3-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; LT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY OOU	2-1	67%	2-1
LT OOO	3-0	100%	1-2

Went over in Q4. Of 580 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–50.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	6-4 60%	6-3-1 67%	5-5 50%
LT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARMY 1–0 LT ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 28 2024	Louisiana Tech 6 @ Army 27	ARMY -14.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−10.8 →−4.0▲ 6.8#83

LT−8.8 →−7.4▲ 1.4#100

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

ARMY

Longer bar = better

#27

Offense

◀ ARMY better

#97

#98

Defense

LT better ▶

#66

−0.3 #95

Turnovers

LT better ▶

+0.7 #39

65 plays #84

Pace

Even

64 plays #95

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	34.7 #50	29.0 #112	ARMY
Yards / play	6.72 #32	5.05 #57	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.33 #16	+0.04 #63	ARMY
Success rate	52% #11	36% #31	Even

When LT has the ball

Even matchup

	LT off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	37.7 #33	16.0 #31	Even
Yards / play	5.36 #109	6.21 #118	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #115	+0.24 #124	Even
Success rate	35% #130	45% #117	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	9.3 #33	8.0 #85	17.3 #61	7.0 #52	10.3 #22	17.3 #27
LT allowed	6.7 #106	4.3 #27	11.0 #58	7.7 #119	10.3 #129	18.0 #127

LT scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	9.3 #33	16.3 #8	25.7 #10	4.7 #99	7.3 #70	12.0 #85
ARMY allowed	4.7 #78	1.0 #3	5.7 #8	4.7 #74	5.7 #67	10.3 #62

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.