Tulane @ Army: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Army · Conference game

Weather at kickoff61°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Tulane

2-2 · Power #86

final

Final

Army

2-2 · Power #78

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARMY -5.5

✓ TULN W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

TULN 21–26 ARMY

✓ ARMY (64%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -6.5

CloseARMY -5.5

Total44.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -6.5

1 → TULN

CloseARMY -5.5

1 pt toward Tulane

Total

Open44.5

▲ 4

Close48.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -6.5 · closed ARMY -5.5 · moved 1 toward TULNmodel ARMY -2.5

model ARMY -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 53% (214 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 48% (376 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -6.5

CloseARMY -5.5

Total44.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARMY as a 5.5-point home favorite against TULN, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ARMY won 20–17; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.7 against an average line of 5.4; 50.1 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SJSU vs NEV 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-7	35–31	L	O51.5
Close	OKST vs USA 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar season form & spread	-7	7–33	L	U49.25
Close	BUFF vs TROY 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-5.5	17–21	L	U43.5
Close	MINN vs ILL 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-2	26–27	L	O44
Close	USM vs TROY 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-7	18–28	L	U50.5
Close	LIB vs MOST 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	17–21	L	U51.5
Close	BC vs PITT 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	34–23	W	O50.5
Close	OHIO vs M-OH 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar situation	-2.5	24–20	W	U50.5
Close	SDSU vs CSU 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-4.5	45–24	W	O40.5
Close	MRSH vs CCU 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & season form	-7.5	31–19	W	U57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TULN LLWL	1-3	25%	1-1	1-1
ARMY WLPL	1-2-1	33%	1-1	1-1-1

Venue/role: TULN away, as underdog; ARMY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TULN UOOU	2-2	50%	2-2
ARMY OOUO	3-1	75%	2-2

Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 53% of games with totals 44.5–52.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TULN	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
ARMY	6-4 60%	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

TULN 1–1 ARMY Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · TULN has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Army 17 @ Tulane 24	TULN -10.5	ARMY W
Dec 6 2024	Tulane 14 @ Army 35	TULN -4.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TULN+2.5 →−4.1▼ 6.6#82

ARMY−10.8 →−4.9▲ 5.9#85

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

TULN

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#108

Offense

ARMY better ▶

#32

#85

Defense

◀ TULN better

#107

−0.3 #92

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #102

61 plays #117

Pace

ARMY faster ▶

66 plays #72

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TULN has the ball

Even matchup

	TULN off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	18.8 #124	19.8 #44	ARMY
Yards / play	5.71 #86	6.89 #133	TULN
PPA / play	+0.10 #88	+0.27 #126	TULN
Success rate	34% #134	46% #124	Even

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #57	23.3 #66	Even
Yards / play	6.56 #41	6.07 #111	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.30 #17	+0.17 #105	ARMY
Success rate	51% #11	40% #59	ARMY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

TULN scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	3.5 #109	6.0 #109	9.5 #122	2.5 #130	6.8 #80	9.3 #116
ARMY allowed	5.3 #84	2.5 #10	7.8 #22	7.0 #98	5.0 #45	12.0 #86

ARMY scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	8.8 #38	6.0 #109	14.8 #79	7.3 #51	11.3 #10	18.5 #22
TULN allowed	4.3 #72	8.5 #91	12.8 #84	5.3 #77	5.3 #53	10.5 #61

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.