Rice @ East Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at East Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff73°F11 mphgusts 27DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Rice

1-4 · Power #121

final

Final

East Carolina

2-2 · Power #93

▲ winner

Closing spread

ECU -10

✓ ECU W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

RICE 18–28 ECU

✓ ECU (78%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenECU -9.5

CloseECU -10

Total50.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenECU -9.5

0.5 → ECU

CloseECU -10

0.5 pts toward East Carolina

Total

Open50.5

▼ 4

Close46.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ECU -9.5 · closed ECU -10 · moved 0.5 toward ECUmodel ECU -14

model ECU -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 9–11 since 2023: won 76%, covered 43% (153 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenECU -9.5

CloseECU -10

Total50.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ECU as a 10-point home favorite against RICE, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: ECU won 28–12; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 40 points stayed under 46.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.9 against an average line of 10.9; 56.9 points a game (usually 53.3). Of the 6 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ARMY vs TLSA 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-10	25–26	L	O43.5
Very close	OHIO vs NIU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	48–21	W	O41.5
Very close	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5
Very close	TULN vs ARMY 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-10	24–17	L	U44.5
Very close	RICE vs CONN 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10	31–38	L	O47.5
Very close	NCSU vs STAN 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	59–28	W	O46.5
Close	APP vs CCU 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-10.5	37–45	L	O48
Close	NIU vs EMU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-12	20–13	L	U43.5
Close	WKU vs MTSU 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	42–26	W	O51.5
Close	USA vs MRSH 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-10	28–0	W	U45

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE WLWLW	3-2	60%	0-2	2-2
ECU LLWL	1-3	25%	0-2	0-2

Venue/role: RICE away, as underdog; ECU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE UUOOU	2-3	40%	1-4
ECU OUUU	1-3	25%	2-2

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 53% of games with totals 42.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
ECU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

RICE 1–0 ECU RICE leads · 1 game since 2023 · RICE has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 30 2023	East Carolina 17 @ Rice 24	RICE -3.5	RICE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−14.2 →−12.9▲ 1.3#117

ECU+2.1 →−3.0▼ 5.1#80

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

RICE

Longer bar = better

ECU

#111

Offense

ECU better ▶

#89

#91

Defense

ECU better ▶

#46

−0.6 #109

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #101

62 plays #112

Pace

Even

60 plays #120

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: ECU defense

	RICE off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #127	25.3 #83	ECU
Yards / play	5.29 #110	4.75 #34	ECU
PPA / play	+0.02 #115	+0.02 #46	ECU
Success rate	42% #92	35% #21	ECU

When ECU has the ball

Even matchup

	ECU off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #99	27.4 #104	Even
Yards / play	5.58 #96	5.61 #88	Even
PPA / play	+0.14 #77	+0.13 #88	Even
Success rate	42% #84	42% #82	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	4.2 #101	5.4 #115	9.6 #120	1.4 #136	7.0 #72	8.4 #123
ECU allowed	4.0 #58	14.8 #135	18.8 #127	2.5 #26	4.0 #27	6.5 #17

ECU scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	5.3 #90	12.0 #29	17.3 #58	4.3 #103	2.5 #134	6.8 #136
RICE allowed	7.4 #118	10.4 #122	17.8 #120	4.0 #53	5.6 #61	9.6 #52

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.