UConn @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 3:45 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Temple

Weather at kickoff73°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

UConn

2-3 · Power #93

▲ winner

Final

Temple

2-3 · Power #104

final

Closing spread

TEM -3.5

✓ CONN W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

CONN 26–29 TEM

✗ TEM (60%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTEM -3

CloseTEM -3.5

Total53.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEM -3

0.5 → TEM

CloseTEM -3.5

0.5 pts toward Temple

Total

Open53.5

▲ 2

Close55.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEM -3 · closed TEM -3.5 · moved 0.5 toward TEMmodel TEM -3.5 matches the line

model TEM -3.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (363 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 60% (48 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTEM -3

CloseTEM -3.5

Total53.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TEM as a 3.5-point home favorite against CONN, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: CONN won 34–20 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 54 points stayed under 55.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.7 against an average line of 3.4; 51.3 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ODU vs MRSH 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	35–42	L	O51.5
Very close	FRES vs SJSU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	33–10	W	U55
Very close	FIU vs JXST 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	27–21	W	U56
Very close	SJSU vs UNM 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-2	35–28	W	O58.5
Very close	M-OH vs CONN 2026 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	24–21	W	U52.5
Very close	JXST vs WKU 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & rest	-4.5	52–12	W	O58.5
Very close	LT vs NMSU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	24–27	L	U55
Very close	UL vs MRSH 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & spread	-5	3–31	L	U57.5
Very close	GAST vs APP 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	14–42	L	U62.5
Very close	CCU vs GASO 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2	6–26	L	U59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CONN WLWLW	3-2	60%	1-1	1-2
TEM WWWPW	4-0-1	100%	2-0-1	1-0

Venue/role: CONN away, as underdog; TEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CONN OUOUO	3-2	60%	2-3
TEM OUOUU	2-3	40%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 12 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 50% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CONN	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
TEM	3-7 30%	5-4-1 56%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CONN 7–10 TEM TEM leads · 17 games since 1971 · CONN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 5 2024	Temple 20 @ UConn 29	CONN -17.5	TEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CONN−4.3 →−6.8▼ 2.5#94

TEM−7.3 →−5.9▲ 1.4#90

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

CONN

Longer bar = better

TEM

#53

Offense

◀ CONN better

#71

#81

Defense

◀ CONN better

#97

−0.4 #95

Turnovers

TEM better ▶

+0.2 #60

66 plays #68

Pace

◀ CONN faster

58 plays #129

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CONN has the ball

Advantage: CONN offense

	CONN off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #40	24.8 #76	CONN
Yards / play	6.60 #37	5.74 #99	CONN
PPA / play	+0.18 #58	+0.18 #107	CONN
Success rate	43% #78	45% #107	CONN

When TEM has the ball

Even matchup

	TEM off	CONN def	Edge
Points / game	25.8 #90	26.2 #96	Even
Yards / play	6.24 #54	5.37 #69	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #51	+0.08 #70	Even
Success rate	42% #90	43% #89	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CONN scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CONN scored	12.6 #7	6.8 #100	19.4 #39	9.6 #18	5.6 #103	15.2 #49
TEM allowed	4.8 #78	4.8 #31	9.6 #48	6.2 #91	7.6 #104	13.8 #103

TEM scoring against the CONN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	5.4 #87	8.2 #84	13.6 #89	3.4 #117	7.6 #59	11.0 #100
CONN allowed	3.2 #34	9.6 #108	12.8 #86	7.0 #99	4.8 #37	11.8 #81

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.