Kent State @ Western Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Western Michigan · Conference game

Weather at kickoff77°F10 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

2-3 · Power #131

final

Final

Western Michigan

3-2 · Power #88

▲ winner

Closing spread

WMU -13.5

✓ WMU W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 14–28 WMU

✓ WMU (84%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWMU -15.5

CloseWMU -13.5

Total48.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWMU -15.5

2 → KENT

CloseWMU -13.5

2 pts toward Kent State

Total

Open48.5

▼ 5

Close43.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WMU -15.5 · closed WMU -13.5 · moved 2 toward KENTmodel WMU -17

model WMU -17

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 88%, covered 56% (154 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (264 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWMU -15.5

CloseWMU -13.5

Total48.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WMU as a 13.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: WMU won 38–7; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 45 points went over 43.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 82%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 15.9 against an average line of 14; 44.9 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NIU vs MASS 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-14	34–20	P	O41
Very close	NIU vs AKR 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & season form	-14	29–16	L	O43.5
Close	FRES vs HAW 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-12.5	20–21	L	U45.5
Close	M-OH vs BALL 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-16.5	45–24	W	O40.5
Close	NIU vs CMU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & situation	-13.5	24–16	L	P40
Close	M-OH vs AKR 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-17	19–0	W	U37.5
Close	ARMY vs CLT 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-17.5	24–7	L	U45.5
Close	LIB vs BALL 2026 · Week 3 · close · similar rest	-14.5	51–15	W	O49.5
Close	ARMY vs TLSA 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & season form	-10	25–26	L	O43.5
Close	LT vs KENN 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & season form	-10.5	33–0	W	U41.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LWLWW	3-2	60%	0-2	1-2
WMU WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-2

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; WMU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OOOUU	3-2	60%	2-3
WMU UOOUU	2-3	40%	3-2

Went over in Q4. Of 383 earlier overs in games with totals 39.5–47.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
WMU	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

KENT 0–1 WMU WMU leads · 1 game since 2023 · WMU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	Kent State 21 @ Western Michigan 52	WMU -19.5	WMU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−18.0 →−18.8▼ 0.8#132

WMU−4.7 →−5.7▼ 1.0#88

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

KENT

Longer bar = better

WMU

#129

Offense

WMU better ▶

#101

#100

Defense

WMU better ▶

#72

−0.6 #106

Turnovers

WMU better ▶

+0.6 #37

62 plays #113

Pace

Even

60 plays #123

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: WMU defense

	KENT off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #134	19.4 #41	WMU
Yards / play	4.49 #136	5.21 #59	WMU
PPA / play	+0.02 #116	+0.10 #80	WMU
Success rate	35% #130	45% #109	WMU

When WMU has the ball

Even matchup

	WMU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #103	31.4 #118	Even
Yards / play	5.08 #120	6.01 #109	Even
PPA / play	+0.10 #89	+0.07 #66	KENT
Success rate	42% #93	45% #108	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the WMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	2.8 #117	4.0 #130	6.8 #134	1.4 #137	6.8 #76	8.2 #127
WMU allowed	4.4 #74	4.2 #24	8.6 #31	4.8 #70	6.0 #69	10.8 #65

WMU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WMU scored	4.8 #94	5.4 #115	10.2 #113	4.2 #104	8.8 #35	13.0 #76
KENT allowed	6.8 #106	11.0 #125	17.8 #122	6.2 #91	7.4 #104	13.6 #100

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.