Ohio @ Kent State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2026)

Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Kent State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff65°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Ohio

2-2 · Power #96

▲ winner

Final

Kent State

2-2 · Power #131

final

Closing spread

OHIO -3.5

✓ KENT W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

OHIO 29–25 KENT

✓ OHIO (62%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -5.5

CloseOHIO -3.5

Total52.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOHIO -5.5

2 → KENT

CloseOHIO -3.5

2 pts toward Kent State

Total

Open52.5

▼ 2

Close50.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -5.5 · closed OHIO -3.5 · moved 2 toward KENTmodel OHIO -8

model OHIO -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (250 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (258 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -5.5

CloseOHIO -3.5

Total52.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 3.5-point road favorite at KENT, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 13–10; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 23 points stayed under 50.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.7 against an average line of 4; 51.7 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TROY @ ULM 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	37–14	W	O45.5
Very close	EMU @ BALL 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & spread	-2.5	24–9	W	U48.5
Very close	CSU @ HAW 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & season form	-5.5	24–27	L	U53.75
Very close	EMU @ AKR 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & situation	-2.5	21–25	L	U50.5
Very close	APP @ GAST 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	41–20	W	O55.5
Very close	USA @ GAST 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-6	38–31	W	O54
Very close	JXST @ MTSU 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-4.5	24–21	L	U54
Very close	LIB @ FIU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-2.5	27–34	L	O51.5
Very close	MRSH @ MTSU 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	42–28	W	O46.5
Very close	BUFF @ KENT 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & season form	-6.5	24–6	W	U44

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO LWWL	2-2	50%	1-1	1-1
KENT LWLW	2-2	50%	2-0	0-2

Venue/role: OHIO away, as favorite; KENT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO OOOU	3-1	75%	2-2
KENT OOOU	3-1	75%	2-2

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 54% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
KENT	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

OHIO 2–0 KENT OHIO leads · 2 games since 2023 · OHIO has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 6 2024	Ohio 41 @ Kent State 0	OHIO -20.5	OHIO W
Oct 7 2023	Kent State 17 @ Ohio 42	OHIO -26	KENT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−5.6 →−10.2▼ 4.6#109

KENT−18.0 →−19.9▼ 1.9#135

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

OHIO

Longer bar = better

KENT

#67

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#127

#117

Defense

Even

#111

−0.8 #110

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #112

65 plays #77

Pace

◀ OHIO faster

61 plays #111

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #74	36.0 #130	OHIO
Yards / play	5.65 #90	6.35 #124	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.22 #49	+0.12 #87	OHIO
Success rate	45% #55	44% #104	OHIO

When KENT has the ball

Even matchup

	KENT off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	16.3 #134	31.0 #121	Even
Yards / play	4.61 #133	6.11 #114	Even
PPA / play	+0.05 #107	+0.28 #131	KENT
Success rate	33% #135	43% #100	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.0 #75	6.0 #109	12.0 #100	7.0 #53	10.0 #26	17.0 #33
KENT allowed	7.8 #115	12.0 #130	19.8 #130	7.0 #102	9.3 #121	16.3 #124

KENT scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	3.5 #109	4.3 #127	7.8 #132	0.0 #137	8.5 #44	8.5 #120
OHIO allowed	7.0 #111	8.5 #91	15.5 #107	7.0 #102	7.8 #110	14.8 #114

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.