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NCAAF · 2026

NCAAF Week 5 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 5: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
56 finalFavorites 27-28 ATS15 upsetsO/U 32-24Model Favorite 41-15Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5656 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS27-2849% covered
Upsets15outright
Over / Under32-2457% over
Model Favorite41-1573% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up19 all 19 final
Over12 63%Under7 37%
Moved down30 all 30 final
Over17 57%Under13 43%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
30–17–164%
178–153–654%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
21–12–164%
111–93–354%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
13–668%
61–49–155%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
3–175%
18–1358%
47–4551%
7+ pts
1–0100%
3–175%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 1

2
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
1-3 · #115
13
New Mexico State
1-3 · #119
34
Spread
NMSU -1.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▼ Under 47
Projected
27–28
✓ NMSU won
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: NMSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Texas
2-2 · #54
45
Tulsa
3-1 · #87
44
Spread
UNT -3
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 89 · Q4
Projected
30–27
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✗ Model: UNT by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Oct 2

3
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
4-0 · #39
35
Virginia Tech
4-0 · #45
33
Spread
VT -1.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼3
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
26–27
✗ VT lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: PITT by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Liberty
3-1 · #67
30
Delaware
2-2 · #113
14
Spread
LIB -7
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 44
Projected
28–22
✓ LIB won
Trend: DEL ATS ✗ Model: DEL by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Penn State
3-1 · #32
13
Northwestern
2-1 · #30
34
Spread
PSU -3
✓ NU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✗ PSU lost
Trend: NU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: PSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Oct 3

51
Final · Conf
Memphis
3-1 · #62
59
Charlotte
0-4 · #135
8
Spread
MEM -18.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
36–18
✓ MEM won
Trend: CLT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CLT by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
4-0 · #1
37
North Carolina
2-1 · #47
26
Spread
ND -21
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼9
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
34–12
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ND by 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Alabama
4-0 · #5
56
Mississippi State
4-0 · #29
23
Spread
ALA -5.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲4
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
34–28
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ALA by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
3-1 · #55
17
Houston
3-1 · #21
27
Spread
HOU -10.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 44
Projected
20–30
✓ HOU won
Trend: UCF ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UCF by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boston College
2-2 · #79
16
SMU
3-1 · #35
25
Spread
SMU -21.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
14–36
✓ SMU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BC by 2 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Middle Tennessee
2-2 · #126
0
Kansas
1-2 · #46
55
Spread
KU -21.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
15–37
✓ KU won
Trend: MTSU ATS ✗ Model: KU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
West Virginia
3-1 · #73
42
Iowa State
2-2 · #50
45
Spread
ISU -3
Push
Total
53.5
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
23–27
✓ ISU won
Trend: ISU ATSTrend: Over ✓ Model: ISU by 7 Model: Under 4 ✗
Final · Conf
Stanford
2-2 · #97
3
Wake Forest
3-1 · #20
57
Spread
WAKE -14.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✓ WAKE won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓ Model: WAKE by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Syracuse
1-2 · #70
42
UConn
2-2 · #93
41
Spread
SYR -6.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
28–22
✓ SYR won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CONN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Michigan
3-1 · #34
14
Minnesota
3-1 · #65
20
Spread
MICH -6.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 34
Projected
24–18
✗ MICH lost
Trend: MINN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MINN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Navy
1-2 · #89
9
Air Force
2-1 · #90
14
Spread
AFA -2.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼4
▼ Under 23
Projected
25–28
✓ AFA won
Trend: AFA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: AFA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Michigan State
2-2 · #69
3
Wisconsin
3-1 · #33
31
Spread
WIS -8.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
16–25
✓ WIS won
Trend: MSU ATS ✗ Model: WIS by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
3-1 · #60
14
Georgia
4-0 · #4
38
Spread
UGA -25.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼8
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
15–40
✓ UGA won
Trend: UGA ATS ✗ Model: VAN by 2 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
2-2 · #88
20
Buffalo
2-2 · #125
17
Spread
WMU -13.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼5
▼ Under 37
Projected
30–16
✓ WMU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BUFF by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Toledo
3-1 · #75
39
Ball State
1-3 · #132
24
Spread
TOL -20.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
37–17
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BALL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio State
3-1 · #2
31
Iowa
4-0 · #27
14
Spread
OSU -14.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
31–16
✓ OSU won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: IOWA by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Auburn
3-1 · #25
14
Tennessee
3-1 · #11
24
Spread
TENN -6
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼3
▼ Under 38
Projected
24–31
✓ TENN won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TENN by 3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
California
2-2 · #85
31
UNLV
2-2 · #84
39
Spread
UNLV -1.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
25–26
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNLV by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Louisville
2-2 · #22
28
NC State
2-2 · #61
31
Spread
LOU -5.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼3
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
31–26
✗ LOU lost
Trend: LOU ATS ✗ Model: NCSU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
3-1 · #49
7
Florida State
2-2 · #40
38
Spread
UVA -1.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
28–26
✗ UVA lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✗ Model: UVA by 0 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Wyoming
2-2 · #122
0
North Dakota State
4-0 · #74
28
Spread
NDSU -17.5
✓ NDSU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▼ Under 28
Projected
13–30
✓ NDSU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: WYO by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Akron
1-3 · #133
17
Central Michigan
2-2 · #120
41
Spread
CMU -6.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✓ CMU won
Trend: AKR ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
2-3 · #128
38
Massachusetts
4-0 · #123
14
Spread
MASS -5.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
22–28
✗ MASS lost
Trend: MASS ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MASS by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio
2-2 · #96
13
Kent State
2-2 · #131
10
Spread
OHIO -3.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 23
Projected
29–25
✓ OHIO won
Trend: KENT ATS ✓ Model: OHIO by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
0-4 · #129
24
Miami (OH)
2-2 · #106
20
Spread
M-OH -10.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼9
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
17–29
✗ M-OH lost
Trend: M-OH ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: M-OH by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
1-3 · #112
10
Georgia State
3-1 · #91
42
Spread
GAST -1.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 52 · Q3
Projected
25–26
✓ GAST won
Trend: GAST ATS ✓ Model: ODU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Marshall
3-1 · #114
17
James Madison
4-0 · #51
45
Spread
JMU -14.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
19–35
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓ Model: JMU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Florida
4-0 · #17
17
Missouri
3-1 · #19
45
Spread
FLA -5.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲4
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
31–26
✗ FLA lost
Trend: FLA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MIZ by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
2-2 · #72
23
Nebraska
4-0 · #13
48
Spread
NEB -15.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
18–34
✓ NEB won
Trend: NEB ATS ✓ Model: NEB by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UTEP
1-3 · #136
7
New Mexico
3-1 · #56
61
Spread
UNM -23.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼6
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
14–38
✓ UNM won
Trend: UNM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNM by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kentucky
3-1 · #26
35
South Carolina
2-2 · #28
34
Spread
SC -2.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲3
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✗ SC lost
Trend: UK ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: SC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Purdue
1-3 · #59
24
Illinois
2-2 · #53
17
Spread
ILL -9.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲2
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–36
✗ ILL lost
Trend: Over ✗Trend: ILL ATS ✗ Model: ILL by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon State
2-2 · #48
56
Colorado State
2-2 · #110
26
Spread
ORST -7
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▲ Over 82 · Q3
Projected
30–25
✓ ORST won
Trend: CSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: CSU by 8.5 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
BYU
3-0 · #14
17
TCU
2-2 · #36
10
Spread
BYU -5.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▼ Under 27
Projected
27–22
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TCU by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-2 · #57
7
Texas A&M
2-2 · #24
34
Spread
TA&M -13.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–33
✓ TA&M won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✓ Model: TA&M by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UTSA
3-1 · #71
16
Rice
1-3 · #121
14
Spread
UTSA -11.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲4
▼ Under 30
Projected
34–22
✓ UTSA won
Trend: UTSA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UTSA by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
1-3 · #82
31
Coastal Carolina
1-3 · #116
24
Spread
GASO -2.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
29–26
✓ GASO won
Trend: GASO ATS ✓ Model: GASO by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UL Monroe
0-4 · #137
35
South Alabama
2-2 · #101
52
Spread
USA -12.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲2
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
22–36
✓ USA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: USA by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami
4-0 · #3
41
Clemson
3-1 · #52
13
Spread
MIA -14
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼6
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
33–18
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
4-0 · #15
29
Colorado
2-2 · #63
7
Spread
TTU -13.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
31–18
✓ TTU won
Trend: COLO ATS ✗ Model: COLO by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Washington
3-1 · #42
21
USC
4-1 · #18
25
Spread
USC -7.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
24–32
✓ USC won
Trend: WASH ATS ✓ Model: USC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah State
1-3 · #95
18
Boise State
3-1 · #37
37
Spread
BOIS -19.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
16–36
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✗ Model: USU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Temple
1-3 · #104
17
South Florida
4-0 · #76
13
Spread
USF -5.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 30
Projected
24–30
✗ USF lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: USF by 5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Army
2-1 · #78
29
Louisiana Tech
1-2 · #83
31
Spread
LT -1.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
23–24
✓ LT won
Trend: LT ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ARMY by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Indiana
4-0 · #7
47
Rutgers
1-3 · #77
15
Spread
IU -24.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲3
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
41–16
✓ IU won
Trend: RUTG ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: RUTG by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
2-2 · #103
20
Louisiana
3-1 · #81
23
Spread
UL -4.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 43
Projected
23–28
✓ UL won
Trend: UL ATS ✗ Model: UL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Fresno State
3-1 · #80
26
Washington State
1-3 · #100
6
Spread
WSU -2.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
21–23
✗ WSU lost
Model: FRES by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Baylor
3-1 · #38
55
Arizona State
2-1 · #66
19
Spread
ASU -3.5
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
24–27
✗ ASU lost
Trend: BAY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ASU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas State
2-2 · #58
29
San Diego State
1-3 · #108
31
Spread
TXST -10
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼3
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
33–25
✗ TXST lost
Trend: TXST ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: SDSU by 8 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
4-0 · #64
7
Arizona
3-1 · #31
34
Spread
ARIZ -7
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
56.5 ▲2
▼ Under 41
Projected
24–31
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
San José State
2-2 · #111
20
Hawai'i
1-3 · #118
16
Spread
HAW -2.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–27
✗ HAW lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: HAW by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total