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NCAAF · 2026

NCAAF Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
57 finalFavorites 28-28 ATS8 upsetsO/U 33-24Model Favorite 49-8Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5757 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS28-2850% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under33-2458% over
Model Favorite49-886% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up17 all 17 final
Over11 65%Under6 35%
Moved down27 all 27 final
Over15 56%Under12 44%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
18–26–141%
195–169–654%
806–817–850%
1.5+ pts
11–15–142%
123–104–354%
458–454–450%
3+ pts
8–10–144%
68–57–154%
222–214–251%
5+ pts
2–167%
21–1558%
50–4752%
7+ pts
1–0100%
3–260%
13–862%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 17

1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
1-1 · #68
13
Pittsburgh
2-0 · #38
27
Spread
PITT -10.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼8
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–31
✓ PITT won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: PITT by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Friday, Sep 18

2
Final · Conf
Miami
2-0 · #3
33
Wake Forest
2-0 · #21
20
Spread
MIA -20.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲5
▼ Under 53
Projected
37–17
✓ MIA won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: WAKE by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Houston
2-0 · #22
26
Texas Tech
2-0 · #20
28
Spread
TTU -7.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
21–29
✓ TTU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✓ Model: TTU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Sep 19

54
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
1-1 · #116
14
Delaware
1-1 · #112
22
Spread
DEL -4.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 36
Projected
24–30
✓ DEL won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: DEL by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Georgia
2-0 · #5
45
Arkansas
1-1 · #60
17
Spread
UGA -24.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
39–16
✓ UGA won
Trend: UGA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ARK by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
1-1 · #132
3
Ohio State
1-1 · #2
59
Spread
OSU -52.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
0–53
✓ OSU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: OSU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo
1-1 · #124
13
Penn State
2-0 · #32
55
Spread
PSU -39.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
5–43
✓ PSU won
Model: BUFF by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
1-1 · #84
20
Kansas State
2-0 · #44
31
Spread
KSU -20.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
13–33
✓ KSU won
Model: TULN by 3 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Bowling Green
0-2 · #129
7
Iowa State
1-1 · #52
55
Spread
ISU -22.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
9–33
✓ ISU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ISU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
Arizona State
1-1 · #62
24
Kansas
1-1 · #45
17
Spread
ASU -5.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼6
▼ Under 41
Projected
29–24
✓ ASU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: KU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
North Carolina
2-0 · #48
20
Clemson
1-1 · #53
28
Spread
CLEM -3
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
19–23
✓ CLEM won
Trend: UNC ATS ✗ Model: CLEM by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Akron
1-1 · #133
7
Minnesota
1-1 · #64
41
Spread
MINN -22.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
13–35
✓ MINN won
Trend: AKR ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
North Texas
1-1 · #56
35
Texas State
0-2 · #59
49
Spread
TXST -3
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
62.5 ▼1
▲ Over 84 · Q3
Projected
33–35
✓ TXST won
Model: UNT by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Eastern Michigan
1-2 · #127
10
Wisconsin
1-1 · #35
54
Spread
WIS -23.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
10–34
✓ WIS won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: EMU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
NC State
1-1 · #66
31
Vanderbilt
2-0 · #61
35
Spread
VAN -3
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
25–30
✓ VAN won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: VAN by 5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
1-1 · #122
10
Central Michigan
1-1 · #121
24
Spread
WYO -1.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
39.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
20–19
✗ WYO lost
Trend: WYO ATS ✗ Model: CMU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Temple
1-1 · #101
48
Toledo
1-1 · #75
49
Spread
TOL -4.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▲ Over 97 · Q4
Projected
21–27
✓ TOL won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TOL by 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
USC
3-0 · #16
42
Rutgers
0-2 · #81
35
Spread
USC -21
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲2
▲ Over 77 · Q3
Projected
40–20
✓ USC won
Trend: RUTG ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: RUTG by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
2-0 · #28
31
Louisville
1-1 · #23
41
Spread
LOU -3
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
26–29
✓ LOU won
Trend: LOU ATS ✓ Model: SMU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Utah State
0-2 · #96
0
Utah
2-0 · #9
33
Spread
UTAH -26.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 33
Projected
14–41
✓ UTAH won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UTAH by 3 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
1-1 · #136
17
Michigan
2-0 · #33
52
Spread
MICH -34.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
8–43
✓ MICH won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗ Model: MICH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
1-1 · #103
31
Cincinnati
2-0 · #57
35
Spread
CIN -14.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
21–35
✓ CIN won
Model: CIN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kentucky
1-1 · #26
31
Texas A&M
2-0 · #24
21
Spread
TA&M -16.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
16–34
✗ TA&M lost
Model: TA&M by 6 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Kentucky
0-2 · #115
0
Indiana
2-0 · #7
38
Spread
IU -44.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
7–52
✓ IU won
Model: IU by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Stanford
1-1 · #94
7
Duke
2-0 · #41
35
Spread
DUKE -9.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 42
Projected
21–31
✓ DUKE won
Model: DUKE by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
1-1 · #131
15
Liberty
1-1 · #67
51
Spread
LIB -14.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼6
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
18–33
✓ LIB won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LIB by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana Tech
1-1 · #74
19
Baylor
1-1 · #39
36
Spread
BAY -20.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
18–38
✓ BAY won
Trend: BAY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: LT by 2 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Florida State
1-1 · #40
36
Alabama
2-0 · #6
50
Spread
ALA -18.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
18–37
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ALA by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
2-0 · #31
41
South Carolina
2-0 · #25
34
Spread
SC -3
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲5
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
27–30
✗ SC lost
Trend: MSST ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: MSST by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
0-2 · #91
20
Old Dominion
1-1 · #118
17
Spread
ODU -2.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–26
✗ ODU lost
Model: ECU by 0 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
1-1 · #104
10
Florida Atlantic
1-1 · #106
16
Spread
FAU -5.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 26
Projected
27–31
✓ FAU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✗ Model: FIU by 8.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
1-1 · #114
30
Missouri State
1-1 · #130
24
Spread
MRSH -4
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
29–26
✓ MRSH won
Model: MOST by 4 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Troy
2-0 · #108
17
Missouri
2-0 · #17
27
Spread
MIZ -26.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
9–36
✓ MIZ won
Model: MIZ by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
2-0 · #15
44
Auburn
2-0 · #30
39
Spread
FLA -2.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
26–25
✓ FLA won
Trend: FLA ATS ✓ Model: AUB by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
2-0 · #92
30
UCF
1-1 · #49
44
Spread
UCF -17.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
16–34
✓ UCF won
Trend: GAST ATS ✓ Model: UCF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UConn
1-1 · #88
48
Southern Miss
1-1 · #125
20
Spread
CONN -3.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
31–28
✓ CONN won
Model: USM by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
1-1 · #89
28
Rice
1-1 · #119
21
Spread
WMU -8.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
25–16
✓ WMU won
Trend: RICE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: WMU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
1-1 · #107
20
Middle Tennessee
1-1 · #126
27
Spread
NEV -3.5
✓ MTSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 47
Projected
26–24
✗ NEV lost
Trend: MTSU ATS ✓ Model: MTSU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
1-1 · #97
36
South Alabama
1-1 · #98
41
Spread
USA -7
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼4
▲ Over 77 · Q3
Projected
24–31
✓ USA won
Trend: USA ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: OHIO by 1 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Georgia Southern
1-1 · #83
27
Jacksonville State
1-2 · #99
31
Spread
JXST -3.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
24–26
✓ JXST won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: GASO by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Michigan State
2-0 · #69
10
Notre Dame
2-0 · #1
27
Spread
ND -28.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▼ Under 37
Projected
13–41
✓ ND won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
LSU
2-0 · #4
24
Ole Miss
2-0 · #10
32
Spread
LSU -3
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▼ Under 56
Projected
30–28
✗ LSU lost
Trend: LSU ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
2-0 · #55
6
Oklahoma
1-1 · #19
14
Spread
OU -21.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 20
Projected
11–32
✓ OU won
Trend: UNM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: OU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
West Virginia
2-0 · #73
38
Virginia
2-0 · #50
27
Spread
UVA -10.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
21–32
✗ UVA lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✗ Model: UVA by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Colorado
2-0 · #65
7
Northwestern
1-0 · #27
41
Spread
NU -3.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ NU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: COLO by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Virginia Tech
2-0 · #46
35
Maryland
2-0 · #71
26
Spread
VT -2.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
27–26
✓ VT won
Model: MD by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
1-1 · #117
9
Tennessee
2-0 · #12
42
Spread
TENN -35.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
12–47
✓ TENN won
Model: KENN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
2-0 · #70
6
Texas
2-0 · #8
30
Spread
TEX -29.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
13–42
✓ TEX won
Model: UTSA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
1-1 · #102
7
TCU
1-1 · #37
31
Spread
TCU -18.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▼ Under 38
Projected
16–35
✓ TCU won
Trend: ARST ATS ✗ Model: TCU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
UAB
1-1 · #105
14
Louisiana
1-1 · #85
21
Spread
UL -7
Push
Total
55.5 ▼4
▼ Under 35
Projected
25–33
✓ UL won
Trend: UAB ATSTrend: Under ✓ Model: UL by 0.5 Model: Over 2.5 ✗
Final · Non-conf
BYU
2-0 · #18
41
Colorado State
2-0 · #111
23
Spread
BYU -17.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲2
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
35–18
✓ BYU won
Trend: CSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: BYU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Charlotte
0-2 · #134
21
App State
2-0 · #95
26
Spread
APP -16.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▼ Under 47
Projected
19–36
✓ APP won
Trend: CLT ATS ✓ Model: CLT by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
James Madison
2-0 · #54
26
San Diego State
1-1 · #109
13
Spread
SDSU -3
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
24–25
✗ SDSU lost
Trend: SDSU ATS ✗ Model: JMU by 7 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Northern Illinois
0-2 · #137
17
Arizona
1-1 · #34
42
Spread
ARIZ -34.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
7–41
✓ ARIZ won
Model: NIU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
North Dakota State
3-0 · #77
31
Sacramento State
1-2 · #138
10
Spread
NDSU -26.5
✓ SAC W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
37–14
✓ NDSU won
Trend: NDSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: SAC by 17 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Purdue
1-1 · #58
38
UCLA
2-0 · #13
52
Spread
UCLA -13.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 90 · Q3
Projected
22–35
✓ UCLA won
Model: UCLA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Fresno State
1-1 · #80
26
San José State
2-1 · #113
10
Spread
FRES -4
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼5
▼ Under 36
Projected
26–22
✓ FRES won
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: FRES by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-360 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total