Florida International @ Florida Atlantic: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Florida Atlantic

Weather at kickoff80°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Florida International

1-1 · Power #105

final

Final

Florida Atlantic

1-1 · Power #102

▲ winner

Closing spread

FAU -5.5

✓ FAU W

Total

62.5

▼ Under · 26 pts

Model before kickoff

FIU 27–31 FAU

✓ FAU (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenFAU -7.5

CloseFAU -5.5

Total62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenFAU -7.5

2 → FIU

CloseFAU -5.5

2 pts toward Florida International

Total

Open62.5

no move

Close62.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened FAU -7.5 · closed FAU -5.5 · moved 2 toward FIUmodel FIU -3

model FIU -3

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 67%, covered 53% (204 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 57% (106 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenFAU -7.5

CloseFAU -5.5

Total62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FAU as a 5.5-point home favorite against FIU, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: FAU won 16–10; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 26 points stayed under 62.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.9 against an average line of 3.6; 57.3 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SJSU vs UNM 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar rest	-2	35–28	W	O58.5
Close	JXST vs USM 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-6	44–7	W	U59.5
Close	AFA vs WYO 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-4	24–21	L	U56.5
Close	SJSU vs USU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-4	42–21	W	U65
Close	USF vs FAU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-2.5	14–56	L	O61
Close	GASO vs CCU 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar rest	-3	45–40	W	O59.5
Close	USM vs ODU 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & season form	-3	13–17	L	U56.5
Close	MTSU vs LT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar season form & rest	-3	31–23	W	P54
Close	GASO vs ODU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	17–20	L	U61.5
Close	GASO vs JXST 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & rest	-3	41–34	W	O58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FIU WW	2-0	100%	1-0	1-0
FAU LW	1-1	50%	1-0	—

Venue/role: FIU away, as underdog; FAU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FIU UO	1-1	50%	1-1
FAU OO	2-0	100%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 40 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 46% of games with totals 58.5–66.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FIU	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
FAU	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

FIU 6–17 FAU FAU leads · 23 games since 2003 · FAU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 13 2025	Florida Atlantic 28 @ Florida International 38	FIU -1.5	FIU W
Sep 14 2024	Florida International 20 @ Florida Atlantic 38	FAU -3.5	FAU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FIU−10.0 →−6.3▲ 3.7#90

FAU−10.2 →−11.3▼ 1.1#113

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

FIU

Longer bar = better

FAU

#99

Offense

Even

#93

#44

Defense

◀ FIU better

#132

−0.5 #92

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #80

76 plays #14

Pace

Even

84 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: FIU offense

	FIU off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #111	48.0 #137	FIU
Yards / play	6.10 #66	8.01 #135	FIU
PPA / play	0.00 #117	+0.31 #132	Even
Success rate	39% #103	47% #125	FIU

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FIU defense

	FAU off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #80	19.5 #66	Even
Yards / play	4.61 #126	4.23 #33	FIU
PPA / play	+0.13 #83	−0.04 #46	FIU
Success rate	42% #83	33% #31	FIU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 75 FBS teams

FIU scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	7.0	3.5	10.5	6.0	4.5	10.5
FAU allowed	12.0	10.5	22.5	10.5	15.0	25.5

FAU scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	7.0	15.5	22.5	7.0	0.0	7.0
FIU allowed	3.0	3.0	6.0	4.0	9.5	13.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.