Tulane @ Kansas State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Kansas State

Weather at kickoff88°F12 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Tulane

1-1 · Power #86

final

Final

Kansas State

2-0 · Power #42

▲ winner

Closing spread

KSU -20.5

✓ TULN W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

TULN 13–33 KSU

✓ KSU (92%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenKSU -20.5

CloseKSU -20.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenKSU -20.5

no move

CloseKSU -20.5

No change since the open

Total

Open49.5

no move

Close49.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened KSU -20.5 · unchangedmodel KSU -17.5

model KSU -17.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 19.5–21.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 49% (109 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenKSU -20.5

CloseKSU -20.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like KSU as a 20.5-point home favorite against TULN, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: KSU won 31–20; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 49.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.9 against an average line of 19.7; 61.9 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 7 overs, 5 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	OU vs ISU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-20	50–20	W	O48.5
Close	BYU vs WVU 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & rest	-19.5	38–24	L	O46.5
Close	MIA vs VT 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest	-17.5	38–34	L	O55.5
Close	DUKE vs NU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-17	38–14	W	O48
Close	UVA vs STAN 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-16.5	48–20	W	O48.5
Close	ND vs UVA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-21.5	35–14	L	U51
Close	MIA vs GT 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar spread	-19	20–23	L	U57
Close	MSST vs NIU 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar total	-24	38–10	W	U48.5
Close	TTU vs UCF 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-24.5	48–9	W	O48.5
Close	UTAH vs KSU 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-17.5	51–47	L	O52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TULN LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
KSU WW	2-0	100%	2-0	2-0

Venue/role: TULN away, as underdog; KSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TULN UO	1-1	50%	1-1
KSU OU	1-1	50%	2-0

Went over in Q4. Of 678 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TULN	7-3 70%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%
KSU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TULN 0–1 KSU KSU leads · 1 game since 2023 · KSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	Kansas State 34 @ Tulane 27	KSU -9.5	TULN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TULN+2.5 →−2.0▼ 4.5#72

KSU+6.3 →+11.3▲ 5.0#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

TULN

Longer bar = better

KSU

#102

Offense

KSU better ▶

#28

#77

Defense

KSU better ▶

0.0 #84

Turnovers

◀ TULN better

−0.5 #103

54 plays #133

Pace

KSU faster ▶

73 plays #26

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: KSU defense

	TULN off	KSU def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #132	5.0 #3	KSU
Yards / play	6.37 #55	2.67 #2	KSU
PPA / play	+0.11 #89	−0.28 #6	KSU
Success rate	34% #132	25% #8	KSU

When KSU has the ball

Advantage: KSU offense

	KSU off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	52.5 #10	20.5 #69	KSU
Yards / play	7.21 #24	5.77 #107	KSU
PPA / play	+0.25 #47	+0.06 #74	KSU
Success rate	51% #29	38% #57	KSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 19 FBS teams

TULN scoring against the KSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	0.0	7.0	7.0	3.5	5.0	8.5
KSU allowed	0.0	5.0	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

KSU scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KSU scored	12.5	14.0	26.5	15.5	10.5	26.0
TULN allowed	8.5	1.5	10.0	3.5	7.0	10.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.