East Carolina @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Old Dominion

Weather at kickoff79°F9 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

East Carolina

0-2 · Power #93

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

1-1 · Power #112

final

Closing spread

ODU -2.5

✓ ECU W

Total

48.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

ECU 23–26 ODU

✗ ODU (57%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenODU -2.5

CloseODU -2.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenODU -2.5

no move

CloseODU -2.5

No change since the open

Total

Open49.5

▼ 1

Close48.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ODU -2.5 · unchangedmodel ODU -2.5 matches the line

model ODU -2.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 52% (335 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenODU -2.5

CloseODU -2.5

Total49.5 → 48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 2.5-point home favorite against ECU, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: ECU won 20–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 48.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.2 against an average line of 2.9; 52 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CSU vs WSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-4.5	3–20	L	U48.5
Very close	APP vs ORST 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2	27–23	W	U53.5
Very close	STAN vs SJSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	30–29	L	O49.5
Close	SYR vs WAKE 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	35–31	W	O43.5
Close	MTSU vs CSU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	23–31	L	O50
Close	SJSU vs STAN 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	34–31	W	O54.5
Close	BC vs UVA 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	27–24	L	U52.5
Close	TROY vs WKU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	27–24	L	U57
Close	PITT vs BC 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & total	-1.75	24–16	W	U46.75
Close	CIN vs BAY 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	29–32	L	O50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
ODU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: ECU away, as underdog; ODU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU OU	1-1	50%	0-2
ODU UO	1-1	50%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 54% of games with totals 44.5–52.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
ODU	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ECU 1–0 ODU ECU leads · 1 game since 2023 · ECU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	East Carolina 20 @ Old Dominion 14	ODU -1.5	ECU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU+2.1 →−3.6▼ 5.7#80

ODU+1.2 →−3.7▼ 4.9#81

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

ECU

Longer bar = better

ODU

#96

Offense

Even

#92

#122

Defense

ODU better ▶

#59

−1.0 #115

Turnovers

ODU better ▶

0.0 #86

57 plays #121

Pace

Even

54 plays #134

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	ECU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #123	27.0 #102	ODU
Yards / play	5.12 #115	4.36 #40	ODU
PPA / play	+0.17 #65	+0.01 #58	Even
Success rate	43% #79	33% #34	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: ODU offense

	ODU off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #89	37.5 #131	ODU
Yards / play	5.88 #76	5.76 #106	ODU
PPA / play	+0.07 #103	+0.26 #130	ODU
Success rate	40% #100	45% #121	ODU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 75 FBS teams

ECU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	3.5	5.0	8.5	5.0	3.5	8.5
ODU allowed	8.5	12.0	20.5	3.0	3.5	6.5

ODU scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	5.0	6.5	11.5	10.5	4.0	14.5
ECU allowed	6.5	21.0	27.5	5.0	5.0	10.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.