Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Virginia Tech
Weather at kickoff72°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #112
21
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #45
44
▲ winner
Closing spread
VT -17.5
✓ VT W
Total
47.5
▲ Over · 65 pts
Model before kickoff
ODU 18–34 VT
✓ VT (87%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenVT -14
CloseVT -17.5
Total51.5 → 47.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
3.5 pts toward Virginia Tech
Total
Down 4 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -14 · closed VT -17.5 · moved 3.5 toward VTmodel VT -10
Opened 51.5 · closed 47.5 · moved 4 downmodel 52
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 50% (132 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (182 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenVT -14
CloseVT -17.5
Total51.5 → 47.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for VT as a 17.5-point home favorite against ODU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Virginia Tech ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Under trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Virginia Tech
3.5 pts (VT -14 → VT -17.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved down 4
51.5 → 47.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Old Dominion has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
ODU+1.2 →−0.5▼ 1.7#69
VT+1.5 →+5.3▲ 3.8#41
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

ODU
Longer bar = better
VT
#85
Offense
VT better ▶
#6
#33
Defense
VT better ▶
#6
+1.0 #58
Turnovers
◀ ODU better
−1.0 #113
55 plays #120
Pace
VT faster ▶
72 plays #50
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When ODU has the ball
Advantage: VT defense
ODU offVT defEdge
Points / game 31.0 #76 3.0 #18 VT
Yards / play 5.80 #79 1.48 #1 VT
PPA / play +0.04 #102 −0.76 #2 VT
Success rate 42% #82 10% #2 VT
When VT has the ball
Advantage: VT offense
VT offODU defEdge
Points / game 73.0 #3 10.0 #44 VT
Yards / play 8.60 #18 3.67 #32 Even
PPA / play +0.82 #3 −0.27 #27 VT
Success rate 78% #1 26% #30 VT

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
VT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
72° · 5 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
ODU7d
VT7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 135fast
Altitude
ODU +2,067 ft
moderate climb

Schedules, links & other games

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