Rutgers @ Boston College: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Fri, Sep 11, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Boston College

Weather at kickoff67°F5 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Rutgers

0-1 · Power #77

final

Final

Boston College

0-1 · Power #79

▲ winner

Closing spread

BC -3

✓ BC W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 49 pts

Model before kickoff

RUTG 27–31 BC

✓ BC (59%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBC -3.5

CloseBC -3

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBC -3.5

0.5 → RUTG

CloseBC -3

0.5 pts toward Rutgers

Total

Open55.5

▼ 2

Close53.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BC -3.5 · closed BC -3 · moved 0.5 toward RUTGmodel BC -3.5

model BC -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 51% (271 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBC -3.5

CloseBC -3

Total55.5 → 53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BC as a 3-point home favorite against RUTG, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: BC won 28–21; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 49 points stayed under 53.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.8 against an average line of 3.3; 49.8 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	FRES vs GASO 2025 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & spread	-2	42–14	W	O51.5
Loose	NIU vs TLSA 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & rest	-4	14–22	L	U54.5
Loose	JXST vs CCU 2024 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & spread	-3.5	27–55	L	O54.5
Loose	APP vs ORST 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar total & rest	-2	27–23	W	U53.5
Loose	HOU vs UNLV 2024 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.25	7–27	L	U55.5
Loose	HAW vs SHSU 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-7.25	37–20	W	O48
Loose	CSU vs WSU 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & spread	-4.5	3–20	L	U48.5
Loose	AKR vs BUFF 2023 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & spread	-2.5	10–13	L	U55.5
Loose	EMU vs SJSU 2026 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & rest	-1.5	21–27	L	U54.5
Loose	MRSH vs APP 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & total	-3	52–37	W	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG L	0-1	0%	—	—
BC L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: RUTG away, as underdog; BC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG O	1-0	100%	0-1
BC U	0-1	0%	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 15. 51% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTG	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
BC	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

RUTG 7–21 BC (1 tied) BC leads · 29 games since 1919 · BC has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+2.3 →−4.9▼ 7.2#85

BC−3.2 →−4.2▼ 1.0#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

RUTG

Longer bar = better

#100

Offense

Even

#107

#117

Defense

BC better ▶

#98

−4.0 #138

Turnovers

BC better ▶

−2.0 #120

63 plays #95

Pace

BC faster ▶

73 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Even matchup

	RUTG off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #98	34.0 #110	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #88	5.56 #95	Even
PPA / play	−0.08 #119	+0.24 #109	Even
Success rate	40% #93	39% #78	Even

When BC has the ball

Even matchup

	BC off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #110	37.0 #114	Even
Yards / play	5.32 #95	6.30 #108	Even
PPA / play	−0.09 #120	+0.33 #119	Even
Success rate	38% #102	52% #125	BC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.